Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the district’s D+4 partisan voter index and her prior victories, including a double-digit margin in 2024. Scholten ran unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer secured her party’s nomination decisively over challengers. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter trends in western Michigan counties including Kent and Ottawa, Scholten’s fundraising edge, and limited Republican momentum in this cycle. A significant national Republican wave, major scandal, or unforeseen shifts in turnout among suburban or Grand Rapids-area voters could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMI-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MI-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$19,136 Vol.
$19,136 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
92%
Parti républicain
7%
$19,136 Vol.
$19,136 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$15,194 Vol.
92%
Parti républicain
$3,942 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the district’s D+4 partisan voter index and her prior victories, including a double-digit margin in 2024. Scholten ran unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer secured her party’s nomination decisively over challengers. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter trends in western Michigan counties including Kent and Ottawa, Scholten’s fundraising edge, and limited Republican momentum in this cycle. A significant national Republican wave, major scandal, or unforeseen shifts in turnout among suburban or Grand Rapids-area voters could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$19,136Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the district’s D+4 partisan voter index and her prior victories, including a double-digit margin in 2024. Scholten ran unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer secured her party’s nomination decisively over challengers. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter trends in western Michigan counties including Kent and Ottawa, Scholten’s fundraising edge, and limited Republican momentum in this cycle. A significant national Republican wave, major scandal, or unforeseen shifts in turnout among suburban or Grand Rapids-area voters could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,136Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the district’s D+4 partisan voter index and her prior victories, including a double-digit margin in 2024. Scholten ran unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer secured her party’s nomination decisively over challengers. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter trends in western Michigan counties including Kent and Ottawa, Scholten’s fundraising edge, and limited Republican momentum in this cycle. A significant national Republican wave, major scandal, or unforeseen shifts in turnout among suburban or Grand Rapids-area voters could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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