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icon for Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ? (Pas d'Orban)
Politique·Starmer

Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ? (Pas d'Orban)

icon for Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ? (Pas d'Orban)
Politique·Starmer

Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ? (Pas d'Orban)

Starmer - Premier ministre du Royaume-Uni 97.5%

Petro - Président de la Colombie <1%

Netanyahu - Premier ministre d'Israël <1%

Poutine - Président de la Russie <1%

Polymarket

$65,238,702 Vol.

Starmer - Premier ministre du Royaume-Uni 97.5%

Petro - Président de la Colombie <1%

Netanyahu - Premier ministre d'Israël <1%

Poutine - Président de la Russie <1%

Polymarket

$65,238,702 Vol.

Starmer - Premier ministre du Royaume-Uni

$1,186,533 Vol.

98%

Petro - Président de la Colombie

$1,020,480 Vol.

<1%

Netanyahu - Premier ministre d'Israël

$3,681,734 Vol.

<1%

Poutine - Président de la Russie

$4,699,034 Vol.

<1%

Xi - Secrétaire général du PCC

$195,286 Vol.

<1%

Milei - Président de l'Argentine

$5,237,651 Vol.

<1%

Trump - Président des États-Unis

$3,177,426 Vol.

<1%

Zelenskyy - Président de l'Ukraine

$12,376,372 Vol.

<1%

Abbas - Président de la Palestine

$8,930,438 Vol.

<1%

Díaz-Canel - Président de Cuba

$1,574,789 Vol.

<1%

Rodríguez - Présidente par intérim du Venezuela

$280,224 Vol.

<1%

Aucun avant 2027

$9,196,394 Vol.

<1%

Macron - Président de la France

$202,612 Vol.

<1%

Erdoğan - Président de la Türkiye

$250,832 Vol.

<1%

Kim - Dirigeant suprême de la Corée du Nord

$199,617 Vol.

<1%

Albanese - Premier ministre australien

$207,455 Vol.

<1%

Newsom - Gouverneur de Californie

$175,790 Vol.

<1%

Lula da Silva - Président du Brésil

$6,026,219 Vol.

<1%

Lecornu - Premier ministre de France

$4,565,809 Vol.

<1%

Takaichi - Première ministre du Japon

$186,282 Vol.

<1%

Merz - Chancelier allemand

$201,251 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez - Premier ministre espagnol

$284,039 Vol.

<1%

Sheinbaum - Présidente du Mexique

$1,181,842 Vol.

<1%

al-Sharaa - Président de la Syrie

$200,594 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Gustavo Petro leads at 51.5% due to Colombia’s fixed presidential term ending with successor inauguration on August 7, 2026, after the May–June elections, creating a scheduled exit independent of approval ratings. Keir Starmer follows at 30.5% amid sustained negative favorability near –45, recent local election setbacks, and internal Labour pressure for resignation that could accelerate departure before the 2029 deadline. Díaz-Canel sits at 7.8% amid Cuba’s deepening economic strains and reported U.S. sanctions, though centralized control limits near-term removal odds. Remaining candidates trade below 2% as their institutional positions, term structures, or coalition dynamics show fewer immediate catalysts for ouster before 2027. Trader pricing reflects these structural timelines and polling-driven volatility rather than guaranteed outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$65,238,702
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Gustavo Petro leads at 51.5% due to Colombia’s fixed presidential term ending with successor inauguration on August 7, 2026, after the May–June elections, creating a scheduled exit independent of approval ratings. Keir Starmer follows at 30.5% amid sustained negative favorability near –45, recent local election setbacks, and internal Labour pressure for resignation that could accelerate departure before the 2029 deadline. Díaz-Canel sits at 7.8% amid Cuba’s deepening economic strains and reported U.S. sanctions, though centralized control limits near-term removal odds. Remaining candidates trade below 2% as their institutional positions, term structures, or coalition dynamics show fewer immediate catalysts for ouster before 2027. Trader pricing reflects these structural timelines and polling-driven volatility rather than guaranteed outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$65,238,702
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ? (Pas d'Orban) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 24 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Starmer - Premier ministre du Royaume-Uni » à 98%, suivi de « Petro - Président de la Colombie » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ? (Pas d'Orban) » a généré $65.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ? (Pas d'Orban) », parcourez les 24 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ? (Pas d'Orban) » est « Starmer - Premier ministre du Royaume-Uni » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Petro - Président de la Colombie » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ? (Pas d'Orban) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.