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icon for Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?
Politique·Angleterre

Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?

icon for Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?
Politique·Angleterre

Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?

Andy Burnham 56.3%

Aucun prochain PM en 2026 13%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 10%

Polymarket

$7,248,963 Vol.

Andy Burnham 56.3%

Aucun prochain PM en 2026 13%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 10%

Polymarket

$7,248,963 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$570,662 Vol.

56%

icon for Aucun prochain PM en 2026

Aucun prochain PM en 2026

$381,066 Vol.

13%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$468,637 Vol.

11%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$283,955 Vol.

10%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$318,246 Vol.

7%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$210,904 Vol.

2%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$807,777 Vol.

1%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$298,443 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$282,640 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$294,267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$689,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$448,765 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$196,450 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$257,594 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$352,678 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$135,226 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$373,998 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$332,809 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$296,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$210,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$38,441 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Labour Party turmoil following disappointing local election results has intensified speculation over Keir Starmer’s future, driving trader consensus toward Andy Burnham as the leading candidate for next prime minister in 2026. Burnham’s strong polling among party members, combined with his allies’ plans for a swift return to Parliament via the Makerfield by-election expected in June, has positioned him ahead of other contenders. Wes Streeting’s recent cabinet resignation and Angela Rayner’s resolution of prior tax matters have added to the list of potential challengers, while the market’s “no change” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether a leadership contest will conclude before year-end. Historical precedent for swift internal shifts and the upcoming by-election timeline further shape these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,248,963
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Labour Party turmoil following disappointing local election results has intensified speculation over Keir Starmer’s future, driving trader consensus toward Andy Burnham as the leading candidate for next prime minister in 2026. Burnham’s strong polling among party members, combined with his allies’ plans for a swift return to Parliament via the Makerfield by-election expected in June, has positioned him ahead of other contenders. Wes Streeting’s recent cabinet resignation and Angela Rayner’s resolution of prior tax matters have added to the list of potential challengers, while the market’s “no change” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether a leadership contest will conclude before year-end. Historical precedent for swift internal shifts and the upcoming by-election timeline further shape these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,248,963
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Andy Burnham » à 56%, suivi de « Aucun prochain PM en 2026 » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 56¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » a généré $7.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 5, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » est « Andy Burnham » à 56%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Aucun prochain PM en 2026 » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.