Skip to main content
icon for Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?
Politique·Angleterre

Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?

icon for Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?
Politique·Angleterre

Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?

Aucun prochain PM en 2026 24%

Andy Burnham 23.3%

Ed Miliband 22.9%

Wes Streeting 13%

Polymarket

$6,120,641 Vol.

Aucun prochain PM en 2026 24%

Andy Burnham 23.3%

Ed Miliband 22.9%

Wes Streeting 13%

Polymarket

$6,120,641 Vol.

icon for Aucun prochain PM en 2026

Aucun prochain PM en 2026

$322,637 Vol.

24%

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$405,429 Vol.

23%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$273,509 Vol.

23%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$170,400 Vol.

13%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$368,337 Vol.

10%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$165,952 Vol.

5%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$253,616 Vol.

2%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$260,711 Vol.

2%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$769,919 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$252,234 Vol.

1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$240,825 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$417,299 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$148,517 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$116,313 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$171,343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$223,836 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$336,294 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$620,532 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$344,015 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$258,305 Vol.

<1%

icon for Personne A

Personne A

$997 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour's catastrophic local election results last week have ignited a fierce leadership crisis for Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with over 70 MPs demanding his resignation, four cabinet ministers quitting, and his net approval plunging to -45%. Trader consensus reflects this turmoil, pricing a tight contest between no leadership change in 2026 (23.5%)—if Starmer weathers the storm—and rapid successors via internal Labour Party rules, led by Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham (23.3%, favored by 42% of party members in recent polls) and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband (22.9%, backed by the left wing). Health Secretary Wes Streeting (13%) eyes an early bid, keeping odds bunched amid vows of "radical change" from Starmer. A formal no-confidence threshold or orderly transition announcement could decisively shift probabilities before party conference.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,120,641
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour's catastrophic local election results last week have ignited a fierce leadership crisis for Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with over 70 MPs demanding his resignation, four cabinet ministers quitting, and his net approval plunging to -45%. Trader consensus reflects this turmoil, pricing a tight contest between no leadership change in 2026 (23.5%)—if Starmer weathers the storm—and rapid successors via internal Labour Party rules, led by Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham (23.3%, favored by 42% of party members in recent polls) and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband (22.9%, backed by the left wing). Health Secretary Wes Streeting (13%) eyes an early bid, keeping odds bunched amid vows of "radical change" from Starmer. A formal no-confidence threshold or orderly transition announcement could decisively shift probabilities before party conference.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,120,641
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucun prochain PM en 2026 » à 24%, suivi de « Andy Burnham » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 24¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » a généré $6.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 5, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » est « Aucun prochain PM en 2026 » à 24%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Andy Burnham » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.