The market's strong consensus around 20-39 posts by the NYC mayor from May 12 to May 19, 2026, stems from established patterns of routine official communications on platforms like X, where City Hall typically shares updates on policy, public safety, infrastructure projects, and community events several times daily. This volume reflects standard mayoral engagement without extraordinary catalysts such as major crises or high-profile legislative votes. Traders assign minimal probability to ranges outside this band because historical weekly activity under the current administration has remained stable absent disruptive developments. Late-breaking events like severe weather responses, budget negotiations, or high-visibility incidents could still increase output, though recent conditions indicate such shifts are unlikely to materialize within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
20-39 98.4%
40-59 1.3%
60-79 <1%
180-199 <1%
$11,123 Vol.
$11,123 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
98%
40-59
1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
20-39 98.4%
40-59 1.3%
60-79 <1%
180-199 <1%
$11,123 Vol.
$11,123 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
98%
40-59
1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
The market's strong consensus around 20-39 posts by the NYC mayor from May 12 to May 19, 2026, stems from established patterns of routine official communications on platforms like X, where City Hall typically shares updates on policy, public safety, infrastructure projects, and community events several times daily. This volume reflects standard mayoral engagement without extraordinary catalysts such as major crises or high-profile legislative votes. Traders assign minimal probability to ranges outside this band because historical weekly activity under the current administration has remained stable absent disruptive developments. Late-breaking events like severe weather responses, budget negotiations, or high-visibility incidents could still increase output, though recent conditions indicate such shifts are unlikely to materialize within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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