Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMaire de New York # posts 19 mai - 26 mai 2026 ?
Maire de New York # posts 19 mai - 26 mai 2026 ?
20-39 82.5%
<20 9%
40-59 1.8%
60-79 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 mai 2026
<20
9%
20-39
83%
40-59
2%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
20-39 82.5%
<20 9%
40-59 1.8%
60-79 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 mai 2026
<20
$36 Vol.
9%
20-39
$50 Vol.
83%
40-59
$138 Vol.
2%
60-79
$30 Vol.
1%
80-99
$50 Vol.
1%
100-119
$169 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$154 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$154 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$159 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$164 Vol.
<1%
200+
$254 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,357Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/NYCMayorThis market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,357Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/NYCMayorMayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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