Hong Kong's mid-May rainfall totals, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal precipitation through July, currently anchor trader sentiment around the 210–240 mm range for the full month. Pre-monsoon convective activity and variable steering patterns have produced scattered showers so far, while model consensus shows modest potential for additional accumulation in the final two weeks from tropical moisture inflows and localized thunderstorms. Historical climatology places the May average near 220–300 mm, yet interannual variability remains high due to shifting monsoon onset timing and sea-surface temperature influences. Upcoming updated forecasts from the Observatory and refined ensemble runs will likely refine resolution probabilities as the month closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrecipitation in Hong Kong in May?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
230-240mm 43%
220-230mm 42%
200-210mm 34.3%
190-200mm 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
<180mm
20%
180-190mm
35%
190-200mm
22%
200-210mm
34%
210-220mm
37%
220-230mm
22%
230-240mm
43%
240mm+
18%
230-240mm 43%
220-230mm 42%
200-210mm 34.3%
190-200mm 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
<180mm
$937 Vol.
20%
180-190mm
$114 Vol.
35%
190-200mm
$248 Vol.
22%
200-210mm
$139 Vol.
34%
210-220mm
$161 Vol.
37%
220-230mm
$129 Vol.
22%
230-240mm
$138 Vol.
43%
240mm+
$554 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's mid-May rainfall totals, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal precipitation through July, currently anchor trader sentiment around the 210–240 mm range for the full month. Pre-monsoon convective activity and variable steering patterns have produced scattered showers so far, while model consensus shows modest potential for additional accumulation in the final two weeks from tropical moisture inflows and localized thunderstorms. Historical climatology places the May average near 220–300 mm, yet interannual variability remains high due to shifting monsoon onset timing and sea-surface temperature influences. Upcoming updated forecasts from the Observatory and refined ensemble runs will likely refine resolution probabilities as the month closes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$2,415Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's mid-May rainfall totals, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal precipitation through July, currently anchor trader sentiment around the 210–240 mm range for the full month. Pre-monsoon convective activity and variable steering patterns have produced scattered showers so far, while model consensus shows modest potential for additional accumulation in the final two weeks from tropical moisture inflows and localized thunderstorms. Historical climatology places the May average near 220–300 mm, yet interannual variability remains high due to shifting monsoon onset timing and sea-surface temperature influences. Upcoming updated forecasts from the Observatory and refined ensemble runs will likely refine resolution probabilities as the month closes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,415Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's mid-May rainfall totals, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal precipitation through July, currently anchor trader sentiment around the 210–240 mm range for the full month. Pre-monsoon convective activity and variable steering patterns have produced scattered showers so far, while model consensus shows modest potential for additional accumulation in the final two weeks from tropical moisture inflows and localized thunderstorms. Historical climatology places the May average near 220–300 mm, yet interannual variability remains high due to shifting monsoon onset timing and sea-surface temperature influences. Upcoming updated forecasts from the Observatory and refined ensemble runs will likely refine resolution probabilities as the month closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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