Three House members—Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick—resigned in mid-April amid House Ethics Committee investigations into sexual misconduct, campaign finance violations, and related allegations. Those departures reduced the group to one remaining member, Rep. Cory Mills, who continues to face separate ethics scrutiny over dating violence claims, campaign finance issues, and other matters but has denied wrongdoing and shown no intent to step down. The Ethics Committee's deliberate timeline and bipartisan reluctance to pursue immediate expulsion votes without completed reviews have kept Mills in office through mid-May. With only two weeks left before the May 31 cutoff, traders assign an 89.5 percent probability that not all four will exit by the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$27,623 Vol.
$27,623 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Oui
$27,623 Vol.
$27,623 Vol.
31 mai 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three House members—Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick—resigned in mid-April amid House Ethics Committee investigations into sexual misconduct, campaign finance violations, and related allegations. Those departures reduced the group to one remaining member, Rep. Cory Mills, who continues to face separate ethics scrutiny over dating violence claims, campaign finance issues, and other matters but has denied wrongdoing and shown no intent to step down. The Ethics Committee's deliberate timeline and bipartisan reluctance to pursue immediate expulsion votes without completed reviews have kept Mills in office through mid-May. With only two weeks left before the May 31 cutoff, traders assign an 89.5 percent probability that not all four will exit by the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$27,623Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three House members—Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick—resigned in mid-April amid House Ethics Committee investigations into sexual misconduct, campaign finance violations, and related allegations. Those departures reduced the group to one remaining member, Rep. Cory Mills, who continues to face separate ethics scrutiny over dating violence claims, campaign finance issues, and other matters but has denied wrongdoing and shown no intent to step down. The Ethics Committee's deliberate timeline and bipartisan reluctance to pursue immediate expulsion votes without completed reviews have kept Mills in office through mid-May. With only two weeks left before the May 31 cutoff, traders assign an 89.5 percent probability that not all four will exit by the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,623Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Three House members—Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick—resigned in mid-April amid House Ethics Committee investigations into sexual misconduct, campaign finance violations, and related allegations. Those departures reduced the group to one remaining member, Rep. Cory Mills, who continues to face separate ethics scrutiny over dating violence claims, campaign finance issues, and other matters but has denied wrongdoing and shown no intent to step down. The Ethics Committee's deliberate timeline and bipartisan reluctance to pursue immediate expulsion votes without completed reviews have kept Mills in office through mid-May. With only two weeks left before the May 31 cutoff, traders assign an 89.5 percent probability that not all four will exit by the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes