Trader consensus prices FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its June 12 expiration at a near-certain 97.7% Yes, driven by the House's April 29 passage of a three-year extension bill (235-191), President Trump's May 1 signing of a bipartisan 45-day stopgap (S.4465), and ongoing negotiations amid intelligence community pressure for continuity. Bipartisan leadership in both chambers, Trump administration backing, and historical patterns of renewal—despite prior two-year RISAA extension expiring April 20—signal strong momentum, outweighing opposition from privacy advocates like Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Mike Lee seeking warrant requirements for backdoor searches. Realistic shifts could arise from Senate filibuster failure, cloture blocks, or late amendments sparking procedural deadlock, though elevated threat assessments bolster pro-renewal forces.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$40,911 Vol.
$40,911 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
$40,911 Vol.
$40,911 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its June 12 expiration at a near-certain 97.7% Yes, driven by the House's April 29 passage of a three-year extension bill (235-191), President Trump's May 1 signing of a bipartisan 45-day stopgap (S.4465), and ongoing negotiations amid intelligence community pressure for continuity. Bipartisan leadership in both chambers, Trump administration backing, and historical patterns of renewal—despite prior two-year RISAA extension expiring April 20—signal strong momentum, outweighing opposition from privacy advocates like Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Mike Lee seeking warrant requirements for backdoor searches. Realistic shifts could arise from Senate filibuster failure, cloture blocks, or late amendments sparking procedural deadlock, though elevated threat assessments bolster pro-renewal forces.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$40,911Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its June 12 expiration at a near-certain 97.7% Yes, driven by the House's April 29 passage of a three-year extension bill (235-191), President Trump's May 1 signing of a bipartisan 45-day stopgap (S.4465), and ongoing negotiations amid intelligence community pressure for continuity. Bipartisan leadership in both chambers, Trump administration backing, and historical patterns of renewal—despite prior two-year RISAA extension expiring April 20—signal strong momentum, outweighing opposition from privacy advocates like Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Mike Lee seeking warrant requirements for backdoor searches. Realistic shifts could arise from Senate filibuster failure, cloture blocks, or late amendments sparking procedural deadlock, though elevated threat assessments bolster pro-renewal forces.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,911Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its June 12 expiration at a near-certain 97.7% Yes, driven by the House's April 29 passage of a three-year extension bill (235-191), President Trump's May 1 signing of a bipartisan 45-day stopgap (S.4465), and ongoing negotiations amid intelligence community pressure for continuity. Bipartisan leadership in both chambers, Trump administration backing, and historical patterns of renewal—despite prior two-year RISAA extension expiring April 20—signal strong momentum, outweighing opposition from privacy advocates like Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Mike Lee seeking warrant requirements for backdoor searches. Realistic shifts could arise from Senate filibuster failure, cloture blocks, or late amendments sparking procedural deadlock, though elevated threat assessments bolster pro-renewal forces.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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