Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following mid-decade redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination on August 6 after defeating primary challengers with 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Victoria Broderick advanced from her party's contest. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, combined with the absence of competitive general-election polling or major shifts in voter sentiment, underpins trader consensus near 93 percent for a Republican victory. A late scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or a broad national wave could narrow the margin, though such outcomes face significant structural barriers in this partisan environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$38,365 Vol.
$38,365 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
8%
$38,365 Vol.
$38,365 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$19,734 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$18,631 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following mid-decade redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination on August 6 after defeating primary challengers with 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Victoria Broderick advanced from her party's contest. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, combined with the absence of competitive general-election polling or major shifts in voter sentiment, underpins trader consensus near 93 percent for a Republican victory. A late scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or a broad national wave could narrow the margin, though such outcomes face significant structural barriers in this partisan environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,365Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following mid-decade redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination on August 6 after defeating primary challengers with 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Victoria Broderick advanced from her party's contest. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, combined with the absence of competitive general-election polling or major shifts in voter sentiment, underpins trader consensus near 93 percent for a Republican victory. A late scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or a broad national wave could narrow the margin, though such outcomes face significant structural barriers in this partisan environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,365Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following mid-decade redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination on August 6 after defeating primary challengers with 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Victoria Broderick advanced from her party's contest. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, combined with the absence of competitive general-election polling or major shifts in voter sentiment, underpins trader consensus near 93 percent for a Republican victory. A late scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or a broad national wave could narrow the margin, though such outcomes face significant structural barriers in this partisan environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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