Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest aggregates from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and others showing figures between 35% and 39.6% amid widespread economic pessimism. Traders appear anchored to this range because voter sentiment on inflation, cost of living, and tariffs has remained negative in September surveys, including record-low marks on economic handling in FT/Focaldata and Economist/YouGov polls. Lingering effects from the Iran conflict and midterm pressures have also contributed to stable but underwater readings. With the September 18 measurement just days away, the narrow distribution across 37.5–38.9 bins reflects limited expected movement absent a major economic release, tariff development, or foreign-policy shift that could alter short-term sentiment before the next wave of national surveys.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour38,0–38,4 32%
38,5–38,9 29%
37,5–37,9 27%
37,0–37,4 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
<37,0
6%
37,0–37,4
11%
37,5–37,9
27%
38,0–38,4
32%
38,5–38,9
29%
39,0+
5%
38,0–38,4 32%
38,5–38,9 29%
37,5–37,9 27%
37,0–37,4 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
<37,0
$3 Vol.
6%
37,0–37,4
$0 Vol.
11%
37,5–37,9
$0 Vol.
27%
38,0–38,4
$60 Vol.
32%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
29%
39,0+
$105 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest aggregates from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and others showing figures between 35% and 39.6% amid widespread economic pessimism. Traders appear anchored to this range because voter sentiment on inflation, cost of living, and tariffs has remained negative in September surveys, including record-low marks on economic handling in FT/Focaldata and Economist/YouGov polls. Lingering effects from the Iran conflict and midterm pressures have also contributed to stable but underwater readings. With the September 18 measurement just days away, the narrow distribution across 37.5–38.9 bins reflects limited expected movement absent a major economic release, tariff development, or foreign-policy shift that could alter short-term sentiment before the next wave of national surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$168Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest aggregates from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and others showing figures between 35% and 39.6% amid widespread economic pessimism. Traders appear anchored to this range because voter sentiment on inflation, cost of living, and tariffs has remained negative in September surveys, including record-low marks on economic handling in FT/Focaldata and Economist/YouGov polls. Lingering effects from the Iran conflict and midterm pressures have also contributed to stable but underwater readings. With the September 18 measurement just days away, the narrow distribution across 37.5–38.9 bins reflects limited expected movement absent a major economic release, tariff development, or foreign-policy shift that could alter short-term sentiment before the next wave of national surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$168Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest aggregates from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and others showing figures between 35% and 39.6% amid widespread economic pessimism. Traders appear anchored to this range because voter sentiment on inflation, cost of living, and tariffs has remained negative in September surveys, including record-low marks on economic handling in FT/Focaldata and Economist/YouGov polls. Lingering effects from the Iran conflict and midterm pressures have also contributed to stable but underwater readings. With the September 18 measurement just days away, the narrow distribution across 37.5–38.9 bins reflects limited expected movement absent a major economic release, tariff development, or foreign-policy shift that could alter short-term sentiment before the next wave of national surveys.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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