Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from RealClear Politics, Silver Bulletin, and others clustering near 37–39 percent amid steady erosion since the start of his second term. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 ranges because multiple late-August and early-September surveys, including Focaldata/FT and Economist/YouGov releases, show continued weakness on the economy, inflation, and cost-of-living metrics, compounded by public skepticism over tariffs and the Iran conflict. Support has also softened among Republican voters in several trackers. No major new catalyst has emerged in the immediate days before September 11 to shift these readings outside the narrow band reflected in current market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour38,0–38,4 44%
38,5–38,9 36%
37,5–37,9 13%
39,0–39,4 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
<37,5
<1%
37,5–37,9
13%
38,0–38,4
44%
38,5–38,9
36%
39,0–39,4
10%
39,5+
1%
38,0–38,4 44%
38,5–38,9 36%
37,5–37,9 13%
39,0–39,4 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
<37,5
$727 Vol.
<1%
37,5–37,9
$1,047 Vol.
13%
38,0–38,4
$2,103 Vol.
44%
38,5–38,9
$1,478 Vol.
36%
39,0–39,4
$684 Vol.
10%
39,5+
$312 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from RealClear Politics, Silver Bulletin, and others clustering near 37–39 percent amid steady erosion since the start of his second term. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 ranges because multiple late-August and early-September surveys, including Focaldata/FT and Economist/YouGov releases, show continued weakness on the economy, inflation, and cost-of-living metrics, compounded by public skepticism over tariffs and the Iran conflict. Support has also softened among Republican voters in several trackers. No major new catalyst has emerged in the immediate days before September 11 to shift these readings outside the narrow band reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,350Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from RealClear Politics, Silver Bulletin, and others clustering near 37–39 percent amid steady erosion since the start of his second term. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 ranges because multiple late-August and early-September surveys, including Focaldata/FT and Economist/YouGov releases, show continued weakness on the economy, inflation, and cost-of-living metrics, compounded by public skepticism over tariffs and the Iran conflict. Support has also softened among Republican voters in several trackers. No major new catalyst has emerged in the immediate days before September 11 to shift these readings outside the narrow band reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$6,350Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from RealClear Politics, Silver Bulletin, and others clustering near 37–39 percent amid steady erosion since the start of his second term. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 ranges because multiple late-August and early-September surveys, including Focaldata/FT and Economist/YouGov releases, show continued weakness on the economy, inflation, and cost-of-living metrics, compounded by public skepticism over tariffs and the Iran conflict. Support has also softened among Republican voters in several trackers. No major new catalyst has emerged in the immediate days before September 11 to shift these readings outside the narrow band reflected in current market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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