Recent polling shows President Trump's approval hovering near historic lows for his second term, pressured by sustained public disapproval of his Iran conflict handling and economic conditions. The ongoing war has produced divided reactions, with Republican support eroding while independents remain negative, creating week-to-week volatility sensitive to any diplomatic signals or economic data releases. Economic concerns over inflation and trade continue to weigh on sentiment, yet no single dominant catalyst has emerged in recent days to shift aggregates decisively. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with minor news flow or poll movements able to tip weekly direction either way depending on conflict developments or incoming indicators.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUp
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
Up
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's approval hovering near historic lows for his second term, pressured by sustained public disapproval of his Iran conflict handling and economic conditions. The ongoing war has produced divided reactions, with Republican support eroding while independents remain negative, creating week-to-week volatility sensitive to any diplomatic signals or economic data releases. Economic concerns over inflation and trade continue to weigh on sentiment, yet no single dominant catalyst has emerged in recent days to shift aggregates decisively. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with minor news flow or poll movements able to tip weekly direction either way depending on conflict developments or incoming indicators.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's approval hovering near historic lows for his second term, pressured by sustained public disapproval of his Iran conflict handling and economic conditions. The ongoing war has produced divided reactions, with Republican support eroding while independents remain negative, creating week-to-week volatility sensitive to any diplomatic signals or economic data releases. Economic concerns over inflation and trade continue to weigh on sentiment, yet no single dominant catalyst has emerged in recent days to shift aggregates decisively. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with minor news flow or poll movements able to tip weekly direction either way depending on conflict developments or incoming indicators.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows President Trump's approval hovering near historic lows for his second term, pressured by sustained public disapproval of his Iran conflict handling and economic conditions. The ongoing war has produced divided reactions, with Republican support eroding while independents remain negative, creating week-to-week volatility sensitive to any diplomatic signals or economic data releases. Economic concerns over inflation and trade continue to weigh on sentiment, yet no single dominant catalyst has emerged in recent days to shift aggregates decisively. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with minor news flow or poll movements able to tip weekly direction either way depending on conflict developments or incoming indicators.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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