US military involvement in Venezuela centers on the January 3, 2026, special operations raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas before withdrawing within hours, with no sustained ground presence afterward. US naval and air assets remain positioned in the Caribbean for counter-narcotics missions, while the Trump administration has signaled readiness for additional strikes if interim President Delcy Rodríguez fails to cooperate on oil sector reforms or security cooperation. Venezuelan forces have conducted internal reviews following the operation, and diplomatic channels have reopened with limited embassy activity in Caracas. Key variables for any renewed entry include ongoing drug interdiction operations, Senate oversight of military authorities, and progress toward a political transition without triggering broader escalation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,298,270 Vol.
31 janv. 2026
30 juin
6%
$1,298,270 Vol.
30 juin
$213,507 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military involvement in Venezuela centers on the January 3, 2026, special operations raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas before withdrawing within hours, with no sustained ground presence afterward. US naval and air assets remain positioned in the Caribbean for counter-narcotics missions, while the Trump administration has signaled readiness for additional strikes if interim President Delcy Rodríguez fails to cooperate on oil sector reforms or security cooperation. Venezuelan forces have conducted internal reviews following the operation, and diplomatic channels have reopened with limited embassy activity in Caracas. Key variables for any renewed entry include ongoing drug interdiction operations, Senate oversight of military authorities, and progress toward a political transition without triggering broader escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,270Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military involvement in Venezuela centers on the January 3, 2026, special operations raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas before withdrawing within hours, with no sustained ground presence afterward. US naval and air assets remain positioned in the Caribbean for counter-narcotics missions, while the Trump administration has signaled readiness for additional strikes if interim President Delcy Rodríguez fails to cooperate on oil sector reforms or security cooperation. Venezuelan forces have conducted internal reviews following the operation, and diplomatic channels have reopened with limited embassy activity in Caracas. Key variables for any renewed entry include ongoing drug interdiction operations, Senate oversight of military authorities, and progress toward a political transition without triggering broader escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,270Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military involvement in Venezuela centers on the January 3, 2026, special operations raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas before withdrawing within hours, with no sustained ground presence afterward. US naval and air assets remain positioned in the Caribbean for counter-narcotics missions, while the Trump administration has signaled readiness for additional strikes if interim President Delcy Rodríguez fails to cooperate on oil sector reforms or security cooperation. Venezuelan forces have conducted internal reviews following the operation, and diplomatic channels have reopened with limited embassy activity in Caracas. Key variables for any renewed entry include ongoing drug interdiction operations, Senate oversight of military authorities, and progress toward a political transition without triggering broader escalation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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