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icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

déc. 31

déc. 31

$349,238 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$349,238 Vol.

Polymarket

South Korea

$56,634 Vol.

24%

India

$60,467 Vol.

23%

United Kingdom

$441 Vol.

18%

Israel

$400 Vol.

17%

Mexico

$2,668 Vol.

16%

Taiwan

$32,449 Vol.

15%

Vietnam

$5,531 Vol.

15%

Indonesia

$19,076 Vol.

14%

South Africa

$391 Vol.

13%

Pakistan

$104,522 Vol.

12%

Canada

$2,831 Vol.

11%

Russia

$2,045 Vol.

10%

Australia

$6,127 Vol.

10%

European Union

$13,088 Vol.

8%

Argentina

$21,537 Vol.

7%

Brazil

$4,227 Vol.

6%

Japan

$16,805 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy relies on broad tariff threats under authorities like IEEPA and Section 122 to accelerate bilateral negotiations, producing multiple framework agreements and reciprocal trade deals since early 2025. Completed or advanced pacts already cover the United Kingdom, Japan, the European Union, Indonesia, Argentina, South Korea, Vietnam, and others, often bundling tariff adjustments with purchase commitments, investment pledges, and sector-specific access in agriculture, autos, and critical minerals. Ongoing talks involve Canada and Mexico ahead of USMCA review, plus continued engagement with China and Taiwan. Upcoming catalysts include the June 2026 G7 summit and further bilateral meetings that could finalize additional frameworks before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on the administration’s emphasis on reducing deficits through enforceable, modifiable bilateral terms rather than multilateral structures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$349,238
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy relies on broad tariff threats under authorities like IEEPA and Section 122 to accelerate bilateral negotiations, producing multiple framework agreements and reciprocal trade deals since early 2025. Completed or advanced pacts already cover the United Kingdom, Japan, the European Union, Indonesia, Argentina, South Korea, Vietnam, and others, often bundling tariff adjustments with purchase commitments, investment pledges, and sector-specific access in agriculture, autos, and critical minerals. Ongoing talks involve Canada and Mexico ahead of USMCA review, plus continued engagement with China and Taiwan. Upcoming catalysts include the June 2026 G7 summit and further bilateral meetings that could finalize additional frameworks before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on the administration’s emphasis on reducing deficits through enforceable, modifiable bilateral terms rather than multilateral structures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$349,238
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « South Korea » à 24%, suivi de « India » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 24¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? » a généré $349.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 5, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? » est « South Korea » à 24%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « India » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.