As of mid-2026, no listed Democratic figures have formally announced a 2028 presidential bid, leaving the "Other" outcome at the head of trader consensus and reflecting broad uncertainty over timing and entrants. Governors Andy Beshear and Gavin Newsom lead among named options due to repeated media speculation, favorable early polling in select states, and public comments signaling interest after the 2024 cycle. Pete Buttigieg has offered the clearest recent indications of openness to a run, while Kamala Harris maintains visibility from her prior nomination despite lower positioning here. Party actions on the 2028 primary calendar, including elevating South Carolina and Nevada, have drawn attention to potential early-state dynamics without shifting announcement probabilities. Lower-listed names such as Ro Khanna and Josh Shapiro factor in through targeted statements and fundraising positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAndy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 19.9%
Pete Buttigieg 16%
Kamala Harris 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2028
Andy Beshear
29%
Gavin Newsom
20%
Pete Buttigieg
16%
Kamala Harris
13%
Ro Khanna
9%
Rahm Emanuel
8%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Jon Ossoff
2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Andy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 19.9%
Pete Buttigieg 16%
Kamala Harris 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2028
Andy Beshear
$1,880 Vol.
29%
Gavin Newsom
$2,758 Vol.
20%
Pete Buttigieg
$580 Vol.
16%
Kamala Harris
$504 Vol.
13%
Ro Khanna
$383 Vol.
9%
Rahm Emanuel
$512 Vol.
8%
Josh Shapiro
$306 Vol.
4%
Jon Ossoff
$306 Vol.
2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$391 Vol.
1%
Jon Stewart
$364 Vol.
1%
Stephen A. Smith
$284 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no listed Democratic figures have formally announced a 2028 presidential bid, leaving the "Other" outcome at the head of trader consensus and reflecting broad uncertainty over timing and entrants. Governors Andy Beshear and Gavin Newsom lead among named options due to repeated media speculation, favorable early polling in select states, and public comments signaling interest after the 2024 cycle. Pete Buttigieg has offered the clearest recent indications of openness to a run, while Kamala Harris maintains visibility from her prior nomination despite lower positioning here. Party actions on the 2028 primary calendar, including elevating South Carolina and Nevada, have drawn attention to potential early-state dynamics without shifting announcement probabilities. Lower-listed names such as Ro Khanna and Josh Shapiro factor in through targeted statements and fundraising positioning.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
Volume
$8,270Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no listed Democratic figures have formally announced a 2028 presidential bid, leaving the "Other" outcome at the head of trader consensus and reflecting broad uncertainty over timing and entrants. Governors Andy Beshear and Gavin Newsom lead among named options due to repeated media speculation, favorable early polling in select states, and public comments signaling interest after the 2024 cycle. Pete Buttigieg has offered the clearest recent indications of openness to a run, while Kamala Harris maintains visibility from her prior nomination despite lower positioning here. Party actions on the 2028 primary calendar, including elevating South Carolina and Nevada, have drawn attention to potential early-state dynamics without shifting announcement probabilities. Lower-listed names such as Ro Khanna and Josh Shapiro factor in through targeted statements and fundraising positioning.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,270Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...As of mid-2026, no listed Democratic figures have formally announced a 2028 presidential bid, leaving the "Other" outcome at the head of trader consensus and reflecting broad uncertainty over timing and entrants. Governors Andy Beshear and Gavin Newsom lead among named options due to repeated media speculation, favorable early polling in select states, and public comments signaling interest after the 2024 cycle. Pete Buttigieg has offered the clearest recent indications of openness to a run, while Kamala Harris maintains visibility from her prior nomination despite lower positioning here. Party actions on the 2028 primary calendar, including elevating South Carolina and Nevada, have drawn attention to potential early-state dynamics without shifting announcement probabilities. Lower-listed names such as Ro Khanna and Josh Shapiro factor in through targeted statements and fundraising positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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