Persistent tensions following the 2025–2026 US-Iran conflict continue to anchor trader consensus against reopening the US embassy in Iran this year. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding halted hostilities and addressed issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, yet Iran suspended key commitments in July amid disputes over implementation, leaving direct diplomatic ties severed since 1979. The United States maintains no embassy or consular presence, relying instead on Switzerland as protecting power, with no announced steps toward normalization or facility reopening by late 2026. Late-breaking breakthroughs in bilateral talks or verified progress on outstanding MoU obligations could theoretically shift probabilities, though current conditions show few signs of such movement before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis rouvriront-ils leur ambassade en Iran en 2026 ?
Les États-Unis rouvriront-ils leur ambassade en Iran en 2026 ?
Oui
5% chance
$158,294 Vol.
$158,294 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
5% chance
$158,294 Vol.
$158,294 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent tensions following the 2025–2026 US-Iran conflict continue to anchor trader consensus against reopening the US embassy in Iran this year. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding halted hostilities and addressed issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, yet Iran suspended key commitments in July amid disputes over implementation, leaving direct diplomatic ties severed since 1979. The United States maintains no embassy or consular presence, relying instead on Switzerland as protecting power, with no announced steps toward normalization or facility reopening by late 2026. Late-breaking breakthroughs in bilateral talks or verified progress on outstanding MoU obligations could theoretically shift probabilities, though current conditions show few signs of such movement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$158,294Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent tensions following the 2025–2026 US-Iran conflict continue to anchor trader consensus against reopening the US embassy in Iran this year. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding halted hostilities and addressed issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, yet Iran suspended key commitments in July amid disputes over implementation, leaving direct diplomatic ties severed since 1979. The United States maintains no embassy or consular presence, relying instead on Switzerland as protecting power, with no announced steps toward normalization or facility reopening by late 2026. Late-breaking breakthroughs in bilateral talks or verified progress on outstanding MoU obligations could theoretically shift probabilities, though current conditions show few signs of such movement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$158,294Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent tensions following the 2025–2026 US-Iran conflict continue to anchor trader consensus against reopening the US embassy in Iran this year. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding halted hostilities and addressed issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, yet Iran suspended key commitments in July amid disputes over implementation, leaving direct diplomatic ties severed since 1979. The United States maintains no embassy or consular presence, relying instead on Switzerland as protecting power, with no announced steps toward normalization or facility reopening by late 2026. Late-breaking breakthroughs in bilateral talks or verified progress on outstanding MoU obligations could theoretically shift probabilities, though current conditions show few signs of such movement before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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