Trump’s recent public appearances have shown a clear pattern of spontaneous dancing at informal or high-energy events, such as UFC fights and agricultural gatherings, where he has moved to music like YMCA in front of crowds. This track record drives trader sentiment toward modest Yes odds for daily resolutions, as video evidence from rallies or ceremonies often surfaces. Formal settings like the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, however, have produced no such moments, reflecting a more restrained tone amid official duties. With potential catalysts including upcoming speeches, campaign-style events, or May 20 observances on the horizon, the market hinges on whether Trump steps into a celebratory environment or sticks to scripted protocol. Traders weigh these situational cues against his established habit of lightening the mood through movement when the setting allows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$274,176 Vol.
31 mai 2026
May 17
5%
May 18
6%
May 19
19%
May 20
20%
May 21
19%
May 22
19%
May 23
19%
May 24
18%
May 25
19%
May 26
19%
May 27
18%
May 28
16%
May 29
18%
May 30
19%
May 31
14%
$274,176 Vol.
May 17
$541 Vol.
5%
May 18
$950 Vol.
6%
May 19
$3 Vol.
19%
May 20
$69 Vol.
20%
May 21
$0 Vol.
19%
May 22
$0 Vol.
19%
May 23
$0 Vol.
19%
May 24
$0 Vol.
18%
May 25
$0 Vol.
19%
May 26
$0 Vol.
19%
May 27
$0 Vol.
18%
May 28
$0 Vol.
16%
May 29
$0 Vol.
18%
May 30
$6 Vol.
19%
May 31
$24 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s recent public appearances have shown a clear pattern of spontaneous dancing at informal or high-energy events, such as UFC fights and agricultural gatherings, where he has moved to music like YMCA in front of crowds. This track record drives trader sentiment toward modest Yes odds for daily resolutions, as video evidence from rallies or ceremonies often surfaces. Formal settings like the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, however, have produced no such moments, reflecting a more restrained tone amid official duties. With potential catalysts including upcoming speeches, campaign-style events, or May 20 observances on the horizon, the market hinges on whether Trump steps into a celebratory environment or sticks to scripted protocol. Traders weigh these situational cues against his established habit of lightening the mood through movement when the setting allows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$274,176Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s recent public appearances have shown a clear pattern of spontaneous dancing at informal or high-energy events, such as UFC fights and agricultural gatherings, where he has moved to music like YMCA in front of crowds. This track record drives trader sentiment toward modest Yes odds for daily resolutions, as video evidence from rallies or ceremonies often surfaces. Formal settings like the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, however, have produced no such moments, reflecting a more restrained tone amid official duties. With potential catalysts including upcoming speeches, campaign-style events, or May 20 observances on the horizon, the market hinges on whether Trump steps into a celebratory environment or sticks to scripted protocol. Traders weigh these situational cues against his established habit of lightening the mood through movement when the setting allows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$274,176Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s recent public appearances have shown a clear pattern of spontaneous dancing at informal or high-energy events, such as UFC fights and agricultural gatherings, where he has moved to music like YMCA in front of crowds. This track record drives trader sentiment toward modest Yes odds for daily resolutions, as video evidence from rallies or ceremonies often surfaces. Formal settings like the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, however, have produced no such moments, reflecting a more restrained tone amid official duties. With potential catalysts including upcoming speeches, campaign-style events, or May 20 observances on the horizon, the market hinges on whether Trump steps into a celebratory environment or sticks to scripted protocol. Traders weigh these situational cues against his established habit of lightening the mood through movement when the setting allows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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