President Donald Trump's established pattern of direct, confrontational public statements through Truth Social posts, White House remarks, and campaign-style events continues to shape trader views on daily markets assessing whether he will insult an individual on a given date. Recent activity includes pointed criticisms of Democrats, media figures, and policy opponents, consistent with his approach to election integrity, economic issues, and foreign policy disputes. These developments reinforce expectations that scheduled appearances, press interactions, or breaking announcements could prompt similar rhetoric before any resolution deadline. Market pricing reflects this recurring dynamic, with historical frequency of such statements serving as a key reference point for assessing probability shifts tied to upcoming events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$504,642 Vol.
31 mai 2026
May 17
100%
May 18
92%
May 19
93%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
89%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
92%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
$504,642 Vol.
May 17
$28,657 Vol.
100%
May 18
$3,910 Vol.
92%
May 19
$1,932 Vol.
93%
May 20
$1,663 Vol.
91%
May 21
$647 Vol.
90%
May 22
$947 Vol.
93%
May 23
$147 Vol.
91%
May 24
$479 Vol.
89%
May 25
$626 Vol.
91%
May 26
$735 Vol.
91%
May 27
$1,015 Vol.
92%
May 28
$523 Vol.
91%
May 29
$383 Vol.
91%
May 30
$97 Vol.
91%
May 31
$399 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's established pattern of direct, confrontational public statements through Truth Social posts, White House remarks, and campaign-style events continues to shape trader views on daily markets assessing whether he will insult an individual on a given date. Recent activity includes pointed criticisms of Democrats, media figures, and policy opponents, consistent with his approach to election integrity, economic issues, and foreign policy disputes. These developments reinforce expectations that scheduled appearances, press interactions, or breaking announcements could prompt similar rhetoric before any resolution deadline. Market pricing reflects this recurring dynamic, with historical frequency of such statements serving as a key reference point for assessing probability shifts tied to upcoming events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volume
$504,642Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's established pattern of direct, confrontational public statements through Truth Social posts, White House remarks, and campaign-style events continues to shape trader views on daily markets assessing whether he will insult an individual on a given date. Recent activity includes pointed criticisms of Democrats, media figures, and policy opponents, consistent with his approach to election integrity, economic issues, and foreign policy disputes. These developments reinforce expectations that scheduled appearances, press interactions, or breaking announcements could prompt similar rhetoric before any resolution deadline. Market pricing reflects this recurring dynamic, with historical frequency of such statements serving as a key reference point for assessing probability shifts tied to upcoming events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$504,642Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's established pattern of direct, confrontational public statements through Truth Social posts, White House remarks, and campaign-style events continues to shape trader views on daily markets assessing whether he will insult an individual on a given date. Recent activity includes pointed criticisms of Democrats, media figures, and policy opponents, consistent with his approach to election integrity, economic issues, and foreign policy disputes. These developments reinforce expectations that scheduled appearances, press interactions, or breaking announcements could prompt similar rhetoric before any resolution deadline. Market pricing reflects this recurring dynamic, with historical frequency of such statements serving as a key reference point for assessing probability shifts tied to upcoming events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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