President Trump's pattern of direct rhetorical confrontations in interviews, social media posts, and public events continues to shape trader assessments of whether he will issue public insults. In the past week he has referred to Democrats as "Dumocrats" while explaining the term on Fox News, labeled Texas state Senator James Talarico a "vegan" promoting "six genders," and told a reporter questioning White House ballroom costs "you dumb person." These exchanges occurred during Rose Garden remarks and campaign-related appearances, consistent with his established communication approach. Upcoming press briefings, international travel, and Truth Social activity provide additional platforms that could influence the probability of further similar statements before any specific resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$509,637 Vol.
31 mai 2026
May 18
94%
May 19
94%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
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90%
$509,637 Vol.
May 18
$7,981 Vol.
94%
May 19
$2,329 Vol.
94%
May 20
$1,816 Vol.
91%
May 21
$749 Vol.
90%
May 22
$1,140 Vol.
93%
May 23
$154 Vol.
91%
May 24
$497 Vol.
90%
May 25
$626 Vol.
91%
May 26
$735 Vol.
91%
May 27
$1,035 Vol.
89%
May 28
$523 Vol.
91%
May 29
$387 Vol.
91%
May 30
$97 Vol.
91%
May 31
$399 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's pattern of direct rhetorical confrontations in interviews, social media posts, and public events continues to shape trader assessments of whether he will issue public insults. In the past week he has referred to Democrats as "Dumocrats" while explaining the term on Fox News, labeled Texas state Senator James Talarico a "vegan" promoting "six genders," and told a reporter questioning White House ballroom costs "you dumb person." These exchanges occurred during Rose Garden remarks and campaign-related appearances, consistent with his established communication approach. Upcoming press briefings, international travel, and Truth Social activity provide additional platforms that could influence the probability of further similar statements before any specific resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volume
$509,637Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's pattern of direct rhetorical confrontations in interviews, social media posts, and public events continues to shape trader assessments of whether he will issue public insults. In the past week he has referred to Democrats as "Dumocrats" while explaining the term on Fox News, labeled Texas state Senator James Talarico a "vegan" promoting "six genders," and told a reporter questioning White House ballroom costs "you dumb person." These exchanges occurred during Rose Garden remarks and campaign-related appearances, consistent with his established communication approach. Upcoming press briefings, international travel, and Truth Social activity provide additional platforms that could influence the probability of further similar statements before any specific resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$509,637Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's pattern of direct rhetorical confrontations in interviews, social media posts, and public events continues to shape trader assessments of whether he will issue public insults. In the past week he has referred to Democrats as "Dumocrats" while explaining the term on Fox News, labeled Texas state Senator James Talarico a "vegan" promoting "six genders," and told a reporter questioning White House ballroom costs "you dumb person." These exchanges occurred during Rose Garden remarks and campaign-related appearances, consistent with his established communication approach. Upcoming press briefings, international travel, and Truth Social activity provide additional platforms that could influence the probability of further similar statements before any specific resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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