Trump’s public statements have centered on broad tariff pressure and rhetorical suggestions that Canada could become the 51st state, without advancing concrete steps to acquire Alberta territory. Administration contacts with Alberta separatists and comments from officials such as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have highlighted the province’s energy resources and independence movement, yet these remain supportive of local referendums rather than U.S. territorial claims. Alberta’s October 19 referendum on pursuing separation has drawn attention but produced no corresponding U.S. acquisition initiative. Traders therefore view an active Trump effort to secure part of the province as improbable amid ongoing trade negotiations and the absence of formal proposals or diplomatic maneuvers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
Oui
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Trump’s public statements have centered on broad tariff pressure and rhetorical suggestions that Canada could become the 51st state, without advancing concrete steps to acquire Alberta territory. Administration contacts with Alberta separatists and comments from officials such as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have highlighted the province’s energy resources and independence movement, yet these remain supportive of local referendums rather than U.S. territorial claims. Alberta’s October 19 referendum on pursuing separation has drawn attention but produced no corresponding U.S. acquisition initiative. Traders therefore view an active Trump effort to secure part of the province as improbable amid ongoing trade negotiations and the absence of formal proposals or diplomatic maneuvers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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