California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with prominent name recognition and party backing, alongside a single Republican entrant, which channels the overwhelming share of votes toward Democratic nominees. This structure, combined with the district's historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large shift in turnout or a late primary upset that places a GOP candidate in the top two, neither of which aligns with current registration or fundraising trends.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -38 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -38 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$57,402 वॉल्यूम
$57,402 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
5%
$57,402 वॉल्यूम
$57,402 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$28,855 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$28,547 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with prominent name recognition and party backing, alongside a single Republican entrant, which channels the overwhelming share of votes toward Democratic nominees. This structure, combined with the district's historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large shift in turnout or a late primary upset that places a GOP candidate in the top two, neither of which aligns with current registration or fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$57,402समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with prominent name recognition and party backing, alongside a single Republican entrant, which channels the overwhelming share of votes toward Democratic nominees. This structure, combined with the district's historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large shift in turnout or a late primary upset that places a GOP candidate in the top two, neither of which aligns with current registration or fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$57,402समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with prominent name recognition and party backing, alongside a single Republican entrant, which channels the overwhelming share of votes toward Democratic nominees. This structure, combined with the district's historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large shift in turnout or a late primary upset that places a GOP candidate in the top two, neither of which aligns with current registration or fundraising trends.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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