Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent. Redistricting shifted the Orange County seat toward a stronger Democratic lean, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic while Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary features Min alongside multiple Republican candidates, including William Brough, Christopher Gonzales, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and Michael Maxsenti, whose fragmented field limits any single challenger's visibility and fundraising. A consolidated Republican nominee backed by strong national momentum or higher turnout in key suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district continue to anchor current probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$811 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$3,119 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent. Redistricting shifted the Orange County seat toward a stronger Democratic lean, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic while Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary features Min alongside multiple Republican candidates, including William Brough, Christopher Gonzales, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and Michael Maxsenti, whose fragmented field limits any single challenger's visibility and fundraising. A consolidated Republican nominee backed by strong national momentum or higher turnout in key suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district continue to anchor current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,930समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent. Redistricting shifted the Orange County seat toward a stronger Democratic lean, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic while Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary features Min alongside multiple Republican candidates, including William Brough, Christopher Gonzales, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and Michael Maxsenti, whose fragmented field limits any single challenger's visibility and fundraising. A consolidated Republican nominee backed by strong national momentum or higher turnout in key suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district continue to anchor current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,930समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent. Redistricting shifted the Orange County seat toward a stronger Democratic lean, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic while Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary features Min alongside multiple Republican candidates, including William Brough, Christopher Gonzales, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and Michael Maxsenti, whose fragmented field limits any single challenger's visibility and fundraising. A consolidated Republican nominee backed by strong national momentum or higher turnout in key suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district continue to anchor current probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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