The European Central Bank’s decision to hold its deposit facility rate at 2% in late April 2026 reflects persistent upside risks to inflation, now projected at 2.6% for the full year after energy prices surged amid Middle East conflict. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting the Governing Council to signal readiness for potential tightening rather than easing. Forecasters including the IMF and major banks have revised 2026 rate paths upward, with markets pricing in at least one hike by September and analysts such as Morgan Stanley withdrawing prior cut calls. Weak first-quarter growth has not offset these price pressures, leaving traders assigning an 88% probability that the ECB will avoid any rate reduction through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$27,913 वॉल्यूम
$27,913 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$27,913 वॉल्यूम
$27,913 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank’s decision to hold its deposit facility rate at 2% in late April 2026 reflects persistent upside risks to inflation, now projected at 2.6% for the full year after energy prices surged amid Middle East conflict. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting the Governing Council to signal readiness for potential tightening rather than easing. Forecasters including the IMF and major banks have revised 2026 rate paths upward, with markets pricing in at least one hike by September and analysts such as Morgan Stanley withdrawing prior cut calls. Weak first-quarter growth has not offset these price pressures, leaving traders assigning an 88% probability that the ECB will avoid any rate reduction through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,913समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank’s decision to hold its deposit facility rate at 2% in late April 2026 reflects persistent upside risks to inflation, now projected at 2.6% for the full year after energy prices surged amid Middle East conflict. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting the Governing Council to signal readiness for potential tightening rather than easing. Forecasters including the IMF and major banks have revised 2026 rate paths upward, with markets pricing in at least one hike by September and analysts such as Morgan Stanley withdrawing prior cut calls. Weak first-quarter growth has not offset these price pressures, leaving traders assigning an 88% probability that the ECB will avoid any rate reduction through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$27,913समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank’s decision to hold its deposit facility rate at 2% in late April 2026 reflects persistent upside risks to inflation, now projected at 2.6% for the full year after energy prices surged amid Middle East conflict. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting the Governing Council to signal readiness for potential tightening rather than easing. Forecasters including the IMF and major banks have revised 2026 rate paths upward, with markets pricing in at least one hike by September and analysts such as Morgan Stanley withdrawing prior cut calls. Weak first-quarter growth has not offset these price pressures, leaving traders assigning an 88% probability that the ECB will avoid any rate reduction through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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