Polymarket traders price a 92.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at the June 25, 2026 meeting, reflecting strong consensus after Banxico's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50%—its terminal rate in a two-year, 475 basis point easing cycle—in a split 3-2 vote. This positioning stems from weak domestic demand outweighing sticky headline inflation, which eased to 4.45% in April 2026 while Banxico raised its Q2 forecast slightly to 4.1%; the board deems the current stance well-calibrated for convergence to the 3% target by Q2 2027. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May CPI data or renewed non-core price pressures prompting a hawkish reassessment ahead of the quarterly inflation report.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 92.9%
Decrease 5.5%
Increase 2.9%
$10,964 वॉल्यूम
$10,964 वॉल्यूम
25 जून, 2026
Decrease
6%
No change
93%
Increase
3%
No change 92.9%
Decrease 5.5%
Increase 2.9%
$10,964 वॉल्यूम
$10,964 वॉल्यूम
25 जून, 2026
Decrease
$649 वॉल्यूम
6%
No change
$9,161 वॉल्यूम
93%
Increase
$1,153 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 92.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at the June 25, 2026 meeting, reflecting strong consensus after Banxico's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50%—its terminal rate in a two-year, 475 basis point easing cycle—in a split 3-2 vote. This positioning stems from weak domestic demand outweighing sticky headline inflation, which eased to 4.45% in April 2026 while Banxico raised its Q2 forecast slightly to 4.1%; the board deems the current stance well-calibrated for convergence to the 3% target by Q2 2027. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May CPI data or renewed non-core price pressures prompting a hawkish reassessment ahead of the quarterly inflation report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,964समाप्ति तिथि
25 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 92.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at the June 25, 2026 meeting, reflecting strong consensus after Banxico's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50%—its terminal rate in a two-year, 475 basis point easing cycle—in a split 3-2 vote. This positioning stems from weak domestic demand outweighing sticky headline inflation, which eased to 4.45% in April 2026 while Banxico raised its Q2 forecast slightly to 4.1%; the board deems the current stance well-calibrated for convergence to the 3% target by Q2 2027. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May CPI data or renewed non-core price pressures prompting a hawkish reassessment ahead of the quarterly inflation report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$10,964समाप्ति तिथि
25 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 92.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at the June 25, 2026 meeting, reflecting strong consensus after Banxico's May 7 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.50%—its terminal rate in a two-year, 475 basis point easing cycle—in a split 3-2 vote. This positioning stems from weak domestic demand outweighing sticky headline inflation, which eased to 4.45% in April 2026 while Banxico raised its Q2 forecast slightly to 4.1%; the board deems the current stance well-calibrated for convergence to the 3% target by Q2 2027. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May CPI data or renewed non-core price pressures prompting a hawkish reassessment ahead of the quarterly inflation report.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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