The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 16, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This reading falls squarely within mid-May climatological norms, where daytime peaks average 25–27°C during the East Asian monsoon transition period. Numerical weather models issued in the preceding days showed strong consensus on these values with little spread, reflecting minimal convective activity or frontal influences. Any late-stage data revision by the Observatory remains the only realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$312,572 वॉल्यूम
$312,572 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$312,572 वॉल्यूम
$312,572 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
19°C or below
$20,243 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$12,423 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$12,291 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$6,633 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$4,802 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$37,336 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$82,493 वॉल्यूम
Yes
26°C
$43,374 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$40,057 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$25,641 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C or higher
$27,278 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 16, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This reading falls squarely within mid-May climatological norms, where daytime peaks average 25–27°C during the East Asian monsoon transition period. Numerical weather models issued in the preceding days showed strong consensus on these values with little spread, reflecting minimal convective activity or frontal influences. Any late-stage data revision by the Observatory remains the only realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$312,572समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 16, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This reading falls squarely within mid-May climatological norms, where daytime peaks average 25–27°C during the East Asian monsoon transition period. Numerical weather models issued in the preceding days showed strong consensus on these values with little spread, reflecting minimal convective activity or frontal influences. Any late-stage data revision by the Observatory remains the only realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$312,572समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 16, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This reading falls squarely within mid-May climatological norms, where daytime peaks average 25–27°C during the East Asian monsoon transition period. Numerical weather models issued in the preceding days showed strong consensus on these values with little spread, reflecting minimal convective activity or frontal influences. Any late-stage data revision by the Observatory remains the only realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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