Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, with subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, southerly flow strength, and urban heat-island effects determining whether the peak edges higher or lower. Official observations from Istanbul’s main stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes, underscoring the value of real-time meteorological data in refining short-term temperature probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 मई को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
20°C 14%
23°C or higher 13.9%
नया
$10,068 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,068 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
33%
22°C
31%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
20°C 14%
23°C or higher 13.9%
नया
$10,068 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,068 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
13°C or below
$589 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$844 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$1,124 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$810 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$1,704 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$1,212 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$1,004 वॉल्यूम
5%
20°C
$470 वॉल्यूम
14%
21°C
$514 वॉल्यूम
33%
22°C
$444 वॉल्यूम
31%
23°C or higher
$1,375 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, with subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, southerly flow strength, and urban heat-island effects determining whether the peak edges higher or lower. Official observations from Istanbul’s main stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes, underscoring the value of real-time meteorological data in refining short-term temperature probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,068समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, with subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, southerly flow strength, and urban heat-island effects determining whether the peak edges higher or lower. Official observations from Istanbul’s main stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes, underscoring the value of real-time meteorological data in refining short-term temperature probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$10,068समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, with subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, southerly flow strength, and urban heat-island effects determining whether the peak edges higher or lower. Official observations from Istanbul’s main stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes, underscoring the value of real-time meteorological data in refining short-term temperature probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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