Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high of 86–88°F in New York City on May 17, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist air northward ahead of a building ridge and mostly sunny skies that maximize solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover after morning, with surface winds shifting from the south at 10–15 mph and dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient warming; this setup aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Minor spread in outcomes reflects small differences among runs regarding the exact timing of any residual marine influence or afternoon mixing, while historical May climatology (average high near 76°F) underscores how the current pattern’s anomalous warmth supports the elevated probabilities. Updated model suites tonight and early Sunday will refine the final range before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 9.6%
$23,716 वॉल्यूम
$23,716 वॉल्यूम
79°F या उससे कम
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 9.6%
$23,716 वॉल्यूम
$23,716 वॉल्यूम
79°F या उससे कम
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high of 86–88°F in New York City on May 17, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist air northward ahead of a building ridge and mostly sunny skies that maximize solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover after morning, with surface winds shifting from the south at 10–15 mph and dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient warming; this setup aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Minor spread in outcomes reflects small differences among runs regarding the exact timing of any residual marine influence or afternoon mixing, while historical May climatology (average high near 76°F) underscores how the current pattern’s anomalous warmth supports the elevated probabilities. Updated model suites tonight and early Sunday will refine the final range before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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