Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, anchoring the market’s near-certain pricing for that exact outcome. Climatological averages for mid-May hover near 16–17°C, but current atmospheric conditions suppress stronger warming while limiting cloud cover enough to reach but not exceed the threshold. Official resolution relies on verified surface observations from central London stations, with only minor model spread or unexpected frontal shifts potentially altering the final reading. Traders appear to view the forecast consensus as sufficiently robust given the short time remaining before data confirmation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$171,943 वॉल्यूम
$171,943 वॉल्यूम
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$171,943 वॉल्यूम
$171,943 वॉल्यूम
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, anchoring the market’s near-certain pricing for that exact outcome. Climatological averages for mid-May hover near 16–17°C, but current atmospheric conditions suppress stronger warming while limiting cloud cover enough to reach but not exceed the threshold. Official resolution relies on verified surface observations from central London stations, with only minor model spread or unexpected frontal shifts potentially altering the final reading. Traders appear to view the forecast consensus as sufficiently robust given the short time remaining before data confirmation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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