Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 47%
14°C 26%
16°C 22%
13°C 5.4%
$49,828 वॉल्यूम
$49,828 वॉल्यूम
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
26%
15°C
47%
16°C
22%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 47%
14°C 26%
16°C 22%
13°C 5.4%
$49,828 वॉल्यूम
$49,828 वॉल्यूम
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
26%
15°C
47%
16°C
22%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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