Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for exactly 13°C. This strong consensus reflects stable springtime synoptic conditions with limited diurnal warming and modest cloud cover moderating peak temperatures near seasonal norms. Official resolution will rely on verified meteorological observations, so brief wind shifts or unexpected cloud breaks remain the main variables that could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current model agreement keeps such outcomes at low probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 मई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$51,788 वॉल्यूम
$51,788 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$51,788 वॉल्यूम
$51,788 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
13°C
$11,169 वॉल्यूम
100%
14°C
$8,432 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C or higher
$8,347 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for exactly 13°C. This strong consensus reflects stable springtime synoptic conditions with limited diurnal warming and modest cloud cover moderating peak temperatures near seasonal norms. Official resolution will rely on verified meteorological observations, so brief wind shifts or unexpected cloud breaks remain the main variables that could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current model agreement keeps such outcomes at low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$51,788समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for exactly 13°C. This strong consensus reflects stable springtime synoptic conditions with limited diurnal warming and modest cloud cover moderating peak temperatures near seasonal norms. Official resolution will rely on verified meteorological observations, so brief wind shifts or unexpected cloud breaks remain the main variables that could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current model agreement keeps such outcomes at low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$51,788समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for exactly 13°C. This strong consensus reflects stable springtime synoptic conditions with limited diurnal warming and modest cloud cover moderating peak temperatures near seasonal norms. Official resolution will rely on verified meteorological observations, so brief wind shifts or unexpected cloud breaks remain the main variables that could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current model agreement keeps such outcomes at low probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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