Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum near 13 °C for Warsaw on May 17, producing the market’s near-certain 99.9 % pricing for that outcome. Mid-May climatology places the long-term average high around 17–19 °C, so the cooler pattern reflects a persistent northerly or northwesterly flow advecting maritime air across central Poland. Official observations will be taken at Warsaw Chopin Airport; any final reading between 12.5 °C and 13.4 °C would resolve the contract. A modest southward shift in the jet stream or delayed frontal passage could allow the high to reach 14 °C, though current model agreement leaves little room for such deviation before sunset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 मई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$51,783 वॉल्यूम
$51,783 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$51,783 वॉल्यूम
$51,783 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
13°C
$11,169 वॉल्यूम
100%
14°C
$8,432 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C or higher
$8,342 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum near 13 °C for Warsaw on May 17, producing the market’s near-certain 99.9 % pricing for that outcome. Mid-May climatology places the long-term average high around 17–19 °C, so the cooler pattern reflects a persistent northerly or northwesterly flow advecting maritime air across central Poland. Official observations will be taken at Warsaw Chopin Airport; any final reading between 12.5 °C and 13.4 °C would resolve the contract. A modest southward shift in the jet stream or delayed frontal passage could allow the high to reach 14 °C, though current model agreement leaves little room for such deviation before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$51,783समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum near 13 °C for Warsaw on May 17, producing the market’s near-certain 99.9 % pricing for that outcome. Mid-May climatology places the long-term average high around 17–19 °C, so the cooler pattern reflects a persistent northerly or northwesterly flow advecting maritime air across central Poland. Official observations will be taken at Warsaw Chopin Airport; any final reading between 12.5 °C and 13.4 °C would resolve the contract. A modest southward shift in the jet stream or delayed frontal passage could allow the high to reach 14 °C, though current model agreement leaves little room for such deviation before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$51,783समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum near 13 °C for Warsaw on May 17, producing the market’s near-certain 99.9 % pricing for that outcome. Mid-May climatology places the long-term average high around 17–19 °C, so the cooler pattern reflects a persistent northerly or northwesterly flow advecting maritime air across central Poland. Official observations will be taken at Warsaw Chopin Airport; any final reading between 12.5 °C and 13.4 °C would resolve the contract. A modest southward shift in the jet stream or delayed frontal passage could allow the high to reach 14 °C, though current model agreement leaves little room for such deviation before sunset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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