Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, establishing the strong scientific basis for the 99.7% market-implied probability on a 13°C high. This consensus reflects prevailing springtime atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating, moderate northerly flow, and typical May cloud cover that caps warming. Official resolution will hinge on verified observations at the primary station, where minor uncertainties such as brief wind shifts or reduced cloud timing could permit a short spike to 14°C, though such scenarios carry low probability given the model agreement and historical climatology for the date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 मई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$51,873 वॉल्यूम
$51,873 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$51,873 वॉल्यूम
$51,873 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
13°C
$11,243 वॉल्यूम
100%
14°C
$8,443 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C or higher
$8,375 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, establishing the strong scientific basis for the 99.7% market-implied probability on a 13°C high. This consensus reflects prevailing springtime atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating, moderate northerly flow, and typical May cloud cover that caps warming. Official resolution will hinge on verified observations at the primary station, where minor uncertainties such as brief wind shifts or reduced cloud timing could permit a short spike to 14°C, though such scenarios carry low probability given the model agreement and historical climatology for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$51,873समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, establishing the strong scientific basis for the 99.7% market-implied probability on a 13°C high. This consensus reflects prevailing springtime atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating, moderate northerly flow, and typical May cloud cover that caps warming. Official resolution will hinge on verified observations at the primary station, where minor uncertainties such as brief wind shifts or reduced cloud timing could permit a short spike to 14°C, though such scenarios carry low probability given the model agreement and historical climatology for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$51,873समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, establishing the strong scientific basis for the 99.7% market-implied probability on a 13°C high. This consensus reflects prevailing springtime atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating, moderate northerly flow, and typical May cloud cover that caps warming. Official resolution will hinge on verified observations at the primary station, where minor uncertainties such as brief wind shifts or reduced cloud timing could permit a short spike to 14°C, though such scenarios carry low probability given the model agreement and historical climatology for the date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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