Recent hotter-than-expected CPI and producer price readings have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to a one-year high near 4.59 percent in mid-May 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the Fed will hold the federal funds rate higher for longer amid persistent inflation pressures. Elevated fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance continue to steepen the yield curve by increasing term premiums, while CBO projections show the benchmark rate rising gradually from 4.1 percent in 2026 toward 4.3 percent in 2027. Market-implied odds now price in limited rate cuts through year-end, with upcoming FOMC meetings and monthly inflation releases serving as key catalysts that could push yields above recent peaks if growth remains resilient or inflation reaccelerates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
$216,604 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4.6%
95%
4.8%
45%
5.0%
26%
5.2%
11%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
6%
6.0%
4%
$216,604 वॉल्यूम
4.6%
$37,797 वॉल्यूम
95%
4.8%
$47,647 वॉल्यूम
45%
5.0%
$50,065 वॉल्यूम
26%
5.2%
$9,852 वॉल्यूम
11%
5.5%
$1,471 वॉल्यूम
7%
5.7%
$3,229 वॉल्यूम
6%
6.0%
$2,152 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected CPI and producer price readings have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to a one-year high near 4.59 percent in mid-May 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the Fed will hold the federal funds rate higher for longer amid persistent inflation pressures. Elevated fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance continue to steepen the yield curve by increasing term premiums, while CBO projections show the benchmark rate rising gradually from 4.1 percent in 2026 toward 4.3 percent in 2027. Market-implied odds now price in limited rate cuts through year-end, with upcoming FOMC meetings and monthly inflation releases serving as key catalysts that could push yields above recent peaks if growth remains resilient or inflation reaccelerates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$216,604समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected CPI and producer price readings have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to a one-year high near 4.59 percent in mid-May 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the Fed will hold the federal funds rate higher for longer amid persistent inflation pressures. Elevated fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance continue to steepen the yield curve by increasing term premiums, while CBO projections show the benchmark rate rising gradually from 4.1 percent in 2026 toward 4.3 percent in 2027. Market-implied odds now price in limited rate cuts through year-end, with upcoming FOMC meetings and monthly inflation releases serving as key catalysts that could push yields above recent peaks if growth remains resilient or inflation reaccelerates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$216,604समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected CPI and producer price readings have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to a one-year high near 4.59 percent in mid-May 2026, reflecting trader expectations that the Fed will hold the federal funds rate higher for longer amid persistent inflation pressures. Elevated fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance continue to steepen the yield curve by increasing term premiums, while CBO projections show the benchmark rate rising gradually from 4.1 percent in 2026 toward 4.3 percent in 2027. Market-implied odds now price in limited rate cuts through year-end, with upcoming FOMC meetings and monthly inflation releases serving as key catalysts that could push yields above recent peaks if growth remains resilient or inflation reaccelerates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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