Iran maintains uranium enrichment as a core sovereign right and has rejected demands for full cessation in ongoing indirect talks with the United States mediated partly through Pakistan. Recent Iranian counterproposals focus first on ending the post-conflict blockade and war, deferring nuclear limits—including any pause in enrichment—to later phases, while offering at most temporary restrictions of 10 to 15 years rather than an immediate end. With the May 31 deadline now less than two weeks away and no joint statement or public pledge emerging, trader consensus at 96.8 percent for No reflects these persistent gaps. A late breakthrough, such as Supreme Leader approval for a rapid concession or new IAEA-verified commitments on the highly enriched uranium stockpile, remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान 31 मई तक यूरेनियम के संवर्धन को समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
ईरान 31 मई तक यूरेनियम के संवर्धन को समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
हाँ
$630,397 वॉल्यूम
$630,397 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$630,397 वॉल्यूम
$630,397 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains uranium enrichment as a core sovereign right and has rejected demands for full cessation in ongoing indirect talks with the United States mediated partly through Pakistan. Recent Iranian counterproposals focus first on ending the post-conflict blockade and war, deferring nuclear limits—including any pause in enrichment—to later phases, while offering at most temporary restrictions of 10 to 15 years rather than an immediate end. With the May 31 deadline now less than two weeks away and no joint statement or public pledge emerging, trader consensus at 96.8 percent for No reflects these persistent gaps. A late breakthrough, such as Supreme Leader approval for a rapid concession or new IAEA-verified commitments on the highly enriched uranium stockpile, remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$630,397समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains uranium enrichment as a core sovereign right and has rejected demands for full cessation in ongoing indirect talks with the United States mediated partly through Pakistan. Recent Iranian counterproposals focus first on ending the post-conflict blockade and war, deferring nuclear limits—including any pause in enrichment—to later phases, while offering at most temporary restrictions of 10 to 15 years rather than an immediate end. With the May 31 deadline now less than two weeks away and no joint statement or public pledge emerging, trader consensus at 96.8 percent for No reflects these persistent gaps. A late breakthrough, such as Supreme Leader approval for a rapid concession or new IAEA-verified commitments on the highly enriched uranium stockpile, remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$630,397समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains uranium enrichment as a core sovereign right and has rejected demands for full cessation in ongoing indirect talks with the United States mediated partly through Pakistan. Recent Iranian counterproposals focus first on ending the post-conflict blockade and war, deferring nuclear limits—including any pause in enrichment—to later phases, while offering at most temporary restrictions of 10 to 15 years rather than an immediate end. With the May 31 deadline now less than two weeks away and no joint statement or public pledge emerging, trader consensus at 96.8 percent for No reflects these persistent gaps. A late breakthrough, such as Supreme Leader approval for a rapid concession or new IAEA-verified commitments on the highly enriched uranium stockpile, remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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