Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 peak, anchors trader positioning for the September release, reflecting moderated new orders at 53.7 alongside resilient production at 58.3 and employment expansion at 51.2. Elevated prices at 71.1 signal persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, while low customer inventories and AI-driven capital spending provide underlying support. With eight consecutive months above 50, the closely contested probabilities around 50–58 underscore uncertainty over whether momentum holds or eases further amid geopolitical and policy headwinds ahead of the October 1 report.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया50.0 से 50.9 28%
54.0 से 54.9 28%
57.0 से 57.9 28%
51.0 से 51.9 26%
<50.0
5%
50.0 से 50.9
28%
51.0 से 51.9
26%
52.0 से 52.9
15%
53.0 से 53.9
24%
54.0 से 54.9
28%
55.0 से 55.9
25%
56.0 से 56.9
24%
57.0 से 57.9
28%
58.0+
18%
50.0 से 50.9 28%
54.0 से 54.9 28%
57.0 से 57.9 28%
51.0 से 51.9 26%
<50.0
5%
50.0 से 50.9
28%
51.0 से 51.9
26%
52.0 से 52.9
15%
53.0 से 53.9
24%
54.0 से 54.9
28%
55.0 से 55.9
25%
56.0 से 56.9
24%
57.0 से 57.9
28%
58.0+
18%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 peak, anchors trader positioning for the September release, reflecting moderated new orders at 53.7 alongside resilient production at 58.3 and employment expansion at 51.2. Elevated prices at 71.1 signal persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, while low customer inventories and AI-driven capital spending provide underlying support. With eight consecutive months above 50, the closely contested probabilities around 50–58 underscore uncertainty over whether momentum holds or eases further amid geopolitical and policy headwinds ahead of the October 1 report.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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