Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market due to consistent internal polling showing strong support among party members for a high list placement, bolstered by Netanyahu’s recent expansion of reserved slots that reduced competition for realistic spots on the national slate ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Voting began on August 17 amid disputes over rule changes favoring the prime minister’s control, with reports highlighting Ohana’s visibility and alignment with party leadership. Other contenders like Eli Cohen trail notably, while figures such as Tally Gotliv and Yariv Levin register lower implied probabilities despite base popularity, reflecting trader assessment of Netanyahu’s influence and the narrowed field after reserved placements. The market consensus positions Ohana as the frontrunner for the primary outcome while treating lower-probability names as reflecting limited realistic paths under current dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमीर ओहाना 79%
एली कोहेन 8.7%
टली गोटलिव 5.8%
यारिव लेविन 5.7%
$61,222 वॉल्यूम
$61,222 वॉल्यूम
26 अक्टू, 2026
अमीर ओहाना
80%
एली कोहेन
13%
टली गोटलिव
6%
यारिव लेविन
6%
बोआज़ बिसमुथ
1%
मिरी रेगव
1%
श्लोमो करही
1%
आलमोग कोहेन
1%
मोशे साडा
1%
डेविड अमसालेम
1%
अमीचाई चिकली
1%
इज़राइल कैट्ज़
<1%
निर्बर्कत
<1%
योआव किश
<1%
क्नेसट चुनाव तक प्राइमरी नहीं
<1%
मिकी जोहर
<1%
डेविड बिटन
<1%
अमीर ओहाना 79%
एली कोहेन 8.7%
टली गोटलिव 5.8%
यारिव लेविन 5.7%
$61,222 वॉल्यूम
$61,222 वॉल्यूम
26 अक्टू, 2026
अमीर ओहाना
$19,386 वॉल्यूम
80%
एली कोहेन
$1,556 वॉल्यूम
13%
टली गोटलिव
$13,440 वॉल्यूम
6%
यारिव लेविन
$3,909 वॉल्यूम
6%
बोआज़ बिसमुथ
$1,287 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिरी रेगव
$655 वॉल्यूम
1%
श्लोमो करही
$1,016 वॉल्यूम
1%
आलमोग कोहेन
$909 वॉल्यूम
1%
मोशे साडा
$882 वॉल्यूम
1%
डेविड अमसालेम
$832 वॉल्यूम
1%
अमीचाई चिकली
$910 वॉल्यूम
1%
इज़राइल कैट्ज़
$2,245 वॉल्यूम
<1%
निर्बर्कत
$2,180 वॉल्यूम
<1%
योआव किश
$841 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्नेसट चुनाव तक प्राइमरी नहीं
$9,710 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिकी जोहर
$667 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डेविड बिटन
$800 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market due to consistent internal polling showing strong support among party members for a high list placement, bolstered by Netanyahu’s recent expansion of reserved slots that reduced competition for realistic spots on the national slate ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Voting began on August 17 amid disputes over rule changes favoring the prime minister’s control, with reports highlighting Ohana’s visibility and alignment with party leadership. Other contenders like Eli Cohen trail notably, while figures such as Tally Gotliv and Yariv Levin register lower implied probabilities despite base popularity, reflecting trader assessment of Netanyahu’s influence and the narrowed field after reserved placements. The market consensus positions Ohana as the frontrunner for the primary outcome while treating lower-probability names as reflecting limited realistic paths under current dynamics.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$61,222समाप्ति तिथि
26 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market due to consistent internal polling showing strong support among party members for a high list placement, bolstered by Netanyahu’s recent expansion of reserved slots that reduced competition for realistic spots on the national slate ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Voting began on August 17 amid disputes over rule changes favoring the prime minister’s control, with reports highlighting Ohana’s visibility and alignment with party leadership. Other contenders like Eli Cohen trail notably, while figures such as Tally Gotliv and Yariv Levin register lower implied probabilities despite base popularity, reflecting trader assessment of Netanyahu’s influence and the narrowed field after reserved placements. The market consensus positions Ohana as the frontrunner for the primary outcome while treating lower-probability names as reflecting limited realistic paths under current dynamics.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
वॉल्यूम
$61,222समाप्ति तिथि
26 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market due to consistent internal polling showing strong support among party members for a high list placement, bolstered by Netanyahu’s recent expansion of reserved slots that reduced competition for realistic spots on the national slate ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Voting began on August 17 amid disputes over rule changes favoring the prime minister’s control, with reports highlighting Ohana’s visibility and alignment with party leadership. Other contenders like Eli Cohen trail notably, while figures such as Tally Gotliv and Yariv Levin register lower implied probabilities despite base popularity, reflecting trader assessment of Netanyahu’s influence and the narrowed field after reserved placements. The market consensus positions Ohana as the frontrunner for the primary outcome while treating lower-probability names as reflecting limited realistic paths under current dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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