Hong Kong Observatory data recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability for that precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical spring climate, typical May lows hover near 24–25°C under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, with minimal nocturnal cooling once the northeast monsoon retreats. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts showed little diurnal variation or frontal passage that would push the reading below 24°C or above 26°C. While official verification locks resolution, an unexpected instrumentation adjustment or localized urban heat-island effect could still alter the final figure, though such revisions remain statistically rare for this well-monitored station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 99.6%
24°C 36.7%
18°C या उससे नीचे 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$65,140 वॉल्यूम
$65,140 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
18°C या उससे नीचे
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
37%
25°C
100%
26°C
35%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 99.6%
24°C 36.7%
18°C या उससे नीचे 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$65,140 वॉल्यूम
$65,140 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
18°C या उससे नीचे
$2,543 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$2,325 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$2,408 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$2,288 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C
$3,899 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$5,213 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$12,402 वॉल्यूम
37%
25°C
$9,259 वॉल्यूम
100%
26°C
$12,015 वॉल्यूम
35%
27°C
$8,536 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C or higher
$4,253 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory data recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability for that precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical spring climate, typical May lows hover near 24–25°C under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, with minimal nocturnal cooling once the northeast monsoon retreats. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts showed little diurnal variation or frontal passage that would push the reading below 24°C or above 26°C. While official verification locks resolution, an unexpected instrumentation adjustment or localized urban heat-island effect could still alter the final figure, though such revisions remain statistically rare for this well-monitored station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$65,140समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
विवाद विंडो
अंतिम
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory data recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability for that precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical spring climate, typical May lows hover near 24–25°C under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, with minimal nocturnal cooling once the northeast monsoon retreats. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts showed little diurnal variation or frontal passage that would push the reading below 24°C or above 26°C. While official verification locks resolution, an unexpected instrumentation adjustment or localized urban heat-island effect could still alter the final figure, though such revisions remain statistically rare for this well-monitored station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$65,140समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
विवाद विंडो
अंतिम
Hong Kong Observatory data recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability for that precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical spring climate, typical May lows hover near 24–25°C under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, with minimal nocturnal cooling once the northeast monsoon retreats. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts showed little diurnal variation or frontal passage that would push the reading below 24°C or above 26°C. While official verification locks resolution, an unexpected instrumentation adjustment or localized urban heat-island effect could still alter the final figure, though such revisions remain statistically rare for this well-monitored station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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