Recent meteorological conditions over southern England have produced mixed rainfall signals, with frontal systems from the Atlantic delivering intermittent showers amid periods of high pressure that suppressed totals through mid-May. Official Met Office data show London accumulating near 20-25mm so far, placing the market-implied odds for the 15-20mm and 25-30mm bands in near parity at 43 percent each. Ensemble forecasts indicate ongoing uncertainty from a variable jet-stream position that could steer additional low-pressure systems or allow drier subsidence to dominate the final two weeks. Historical May averages of 45-55mm provide context, yet current model consensus highlights sensitivity to small shifts in storm track or blocking patterns, leaving traders focused on the next updated guidance for resolution clarity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPrecipitation in London in May?
Precipitation in London in May?
30mm+ 33%
20-25mm 31%
5-10mm 3.1%
<5mm 0
नया
नया
31 मई, 2026
<5mm
32%
5-10mm
3%
10-15mm
40%
15-20mm
43%
20-25mm
25%
25-30mm
42%
30mm+
33%
30mm+ 33%
20-25mm 31%
5-10mm 3.1%
<5mm 0
नया
नया
31 मई, 2026
<5mm
$242 वॉल्यूम
32%
5-10mm
$273 वॉल्यूम
3%
10-15mm
$95 वॉल्यूम
40%
15-20mm
$44 वॉल्यूम
43%
20-25mm
$1,045 वॉल्यूम
25%
25-30mm
$48 वॉल्यूम
42%
30mm+
$129 वॉल्यूम
33%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological conditions over southern England have produced mixed rainfall signals, with frontal systems from the Atlantic delivering intermittent showers amid periods of high pressure that suppressed totals through mid-May. Official Met Office data show London accumulating near 20-25mm so far, placing the market-implied odds for the 15-20mm and 25-30mm bands in near parity at 43 percent each. Ensemble forecasts indicate ongoing uncertainty from a variable jet-stream position that could steer additional low-pressure systems or allow drier subsidence to dominate the final two weeks. Historical May averages of 45-55mm provide context, yet current model consensus highlights sensitivity to small shifts in storm track or blocking patterns, leaving traders focused on the next updated guidance for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,876समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological conditions over southern England have produced mixed rainfall signals, with frontal systems from the Atlantic delivering intermittent showers amid periods of high pressure that suppressed totals through mid-May. Official Met Office data show London accumulating near 20-25mm so far, placing the market-implied odds for the 15-20mm and 25-30mm bands in near parity at 43 percent each. Ensemble forecasts indicate ongoing uncertainty from a variable jet-stream position that could steer additional low-pressure systems or allow drier subsidence to dominate the final two weeks. Historical May averages of 45-55mm provide context, yet current model consensus highlights sensitivity to small shifts in storm track or blocking patterns, leaving traders focused on the next updated guidance for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,876समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological conditions over southern England have produced mixed rainfall signals, with frontal systems from the Atlantic delivering intermittent showers amid periods of high pressure that suppressed totals through mid-May. Official Met Office data show London accumulating near 20-25mm so far, placing the market-implied odds for the 15-20mm and 25-30mm bands in near parity at 43 percent each. Ensemble forecasts indicate ongoing uncertainty from a variable jet-stream position that could steer additional low-pressure systems or allow drier subsidence to dominate the final two weeks. Historical May averages of 45-55mm provide context, yet current model consensus highlights sensitivity to small shifts in storm track or blocking patterns, leaving traders focused on the next updated guidance for resolution clarity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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