Recent bilateral consultations between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, along with progress on reciprocal tariff reductions covering $30 billion in goods from each side, have strengthened expectations for a framework agreement. These talks build on the May 2026 leaders’ summit that established boards of trade and investment, suspended certain measures until the November 10 truce expiration, and outlined carve-outs for nonsensitive items. Ongoing discussions on critical minerals, agricultural purchases, and AI guardrails ahead of the upcoming Trump-Xi summit reflect sustained diplomatic momentum. Traders assign the 91.4% implied probability to this consensus, though an abrupt escalation or summit impasse could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया91% संभावना
$256,895 वॉल्यूम
$256,895 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
91% संभावना
$256,895 वॉल्यूम
$256,895 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral consultations between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, along with progress on reciprocal tariff reductions covering $30 billion in goods from each side, have strengthened expectations for a framework agreement. These talks build on the May 2026 leaders’ summit that established boards of trade and investment, suspended certain measures until the November 10 truce expiration, and outlined carve-outs for nonsensitive items. Ongoing discussions on critical minerals, agricultural purchases, and AI guardrails ahead of the upcoming Trump-Xi summit reflect sustained diplomatic momentum. Traders assign the 91.4% implied probability to this consensus, though an abrupt escalation or summit impasse could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$256,895समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral consultations between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, along with progress on reciprocal tariff reductions covering $30 billion in goods from each side, have strengthened expectations for a framework agreement. These talks build on the May 2026 leaders’ summit that established boards of trade and investment, suspended certain measures until the November 10 truce expiration, and outlined carve-outs for nonsensitive items. Ongoing discussions on critical minerals, agricultural purchases, and AI guardrails ahead of the upcoming Trump-Xi summit reflect sustained diplomatic momentum. Traders assign the 91.4% implied probability to this consensus, though an abrupt escalation or summit impasse could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$256,895समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent bilateral consultations between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, along with progress on reciprocal tariff reductions covering $30 billion in goods from each side, have strengthened expectations for a framework agreement. These talks build on the May 2026 leaders’ summit that established boards of trade and investment, suspended certain measures until the November 10 truce expiration, and outlined carve-outs for nonsensitive items. Ongoing discussions on critical minerals, agricultural purchases, and AI guardrails ahead of the upcoming Trump-Xi summit reflect sustained diplomatic momentum. Traders assign the 91.4% implied probability to this consensus, though an abrupt escalation or summit impasse could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न