This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's 54-45 confirmation vote for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on May 13 has driven trader consensus to near-certainty, marking the culmination of President Trump's January nomination amid a partisan process. Warsh, a former Fed governor known for advocating tighter monetary policy, cleared the Banking Committee in April and a procedural cloture vote on May 11, with Sen. John Fetterman as the lone Democrat crossing party lines. Jerome Powell's term ends May 15, positioning Warsh to assume the role absent extraordinary reversals like health issues or unprecedented withdrawal, though Senate math and historical precedent make challenges improbable. Traders reflect this skin-in-the-game certainty in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवाद विंडो
अंतिम
The Senate's 54-45 confirmation vote for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on May 13 has driven trader consensus to near-certainty, marking the culmination of President Trump's January nomination amid a partisan process. Warsh, a former Fed governor known for advocating tighter monetary policy, cleared the Banking Committee in April and a procedural cloture vote on May 11, with Sen. John Fetterman as the lone Democrat crossing party lines. Jerome Powell's term ends May 15, positioning Warsh to assume the role absent extraordinary reversals like health issues or unprecedented withdrawal, though Senate math and historical precedent make challenges improbable. Traders reflect this skin-in-the-game certainty in current pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
May 2 2026
Market
Kevin Warsh rises to 100%1%
With committee approval and no further obstacles, traders
Apr 26 2026
Senate Banking Committee votes 13-11 along party lines to advance Kevin Warsh nomination
Kevin Warsh rises to 99%1%
The committee approved Warsh's nomination, with all Republicans supporting and Democrats opposing, setting the stage for a full Senate vote and pushing market
Apr 24 2026
DOJ closes criminal investigation into Jerome Powell, removing key obstacle for Warsh confirmation
Kevin Warsh rises to 98%4%
The Department of Justice ended its probe into Powell, which had been blocking Senator Thom Tillis's support for Warsh, clearing a major hurdle and sharply increasing Warsh's confirmation probability.
Apr 22 2026
Senator Thom Tillis announces support for Warsh confirmation after DOJ ends Powell investigation
Kevin Warsh rises to 98%4%
Tillis's shift to support Warsh following the investigation closure was pivotal, removing a major confirmation blockade and driving Warsh's market
Apr 21 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren criticizes Warsh nomination as a "sock puppet" for Trump, opposing confirmation
Kevin Warsh dips to 94%1%
Warren's vocal opposition contributed to Democratic resistance in the committee vote, slightly tempering Warsh's market gains during the hearing period.
Apr 21 2026
Kevin Warsh faces intense questioning at Senate confirmation hearing, emphasizes Fed independence
Kevin Warsh dips to 94%1%
During his hearing, Warsh stressed his independence from President Trump and openness to rate cuts, but faced tough questions and political skepticism, causing a slight market dip.
Mar 31 2026
Senate Banking Committee schedules Kevin Warsh confirmation hearing for mid-April
Kevin Warsh rises to 95%1%
The Senate Banking Committee announced the confirmation hearing for Warsh in the week of April 13, signaling progress in the nomination process amid rising inflation and geopolitical tensions.
Mar 14 2026
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urges Senate to proceed with Warsh hearings despite ongoing Powell investigation
Scott Bessent dips to 0%2%
Bessent's call to continue hearings amid the Powell probe failed to sway blocking senators, leading to a decline in Warsh rivals' market shares, including Bessent himself.
Bowman saw a small uptick in market interest as a potential alternative, but this quickly faded as Warsh's nomination advanced and other candidates lost traction.
Mar 4 2026
White House officially submits Kevin Warsh nomination for Federal Reserve Chair and Board of Governors
Kevin Warsh jumps to 94%5%
President Trump formally submitted Kevin Warsh's nomination to the Senate for both Fed Chair and Board of Governors positions, marking the official start of the confirmation process and boosting market confidence in Warsh's chances.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's 54-45 confirmation vote for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on May 13 has driven trader consensus to near-certainty, marking the culmination of President Trump's January nomination amid a partisan process. Warsh, a former Fed governor known for advocating tighter monetary policy, cleared the Banking Committee in April and a procedural cloture vote on May 11, with Sen. John Fetterman as the lone Democrat crossing party lines. Jerome Powell's term ends May 15, positioning Warsh to assume the role absent extraordinary reversals like health issues or unprecedented withdrawal, though Senate math and historical precedent make challenges improbable. Traders reflect this skin-in-the-game certainty in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवाद विंडो
अंतिम
The Senate's 54-45 confirmation vote for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on May 13 has driven trader consensus to near-certainty, marking the culmination of President Trump's January nomination amid a partisan process. Warsh, a former Fed governor known for advocating tighter monetary policy, cleared the Banking Committee in April and a procedural cloture vote on May 11, with Sen. John Fetterman as the lone Democrat crossing party lines. Jerome Powell's term ends May 15, positioning Warsh to assume the role absent extraordinary reversals like health issues or unprecedented withdrawal, though Senate math and historical precedent make challenges improbable. Traders reflect this skin-in-the-game certainty in current pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
May 2 2026
Market
Kevin Warsh rises to 100%1%
With committee approval and no further obstacles, traders
Apr 26 2026
Senate Banking Committee votes 13-11 along party lines to advance Kevin Warsh nomination
Kevin Warsh rises to 99%1%
The committee approved Warsh's nomination, with all Republicans supporting and Democrats opposing, setting the stage for a full Senate vote and pushing market
Apr 24 2026
DOJ closes criminal investigation into Jerome Powell, removing key obstacle for Warsh confirmation
Kevin Warsh rises to 98%4%
The Department of Justice ended its probe into Powell, which had been blocking Senator Thom Tillis's support for Warsh, clearing a major hurdle and sharply increasing Warsh's confirmation probability.
Apr 22 2026
Senator Thom Tillis announces support for Warsh confirmation after DOJ ends Powell investigation
Kevin Warsh rises to 98%4%
Tillis's shift to support Warsh following the investigation closure was pivotal, removing a major confirmation blockade and driving Warsh's market
Apr 21 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren criticizes Warsh nomination as a "sock puppet" for Trump, opposing confirmation
Kevin Warsh dips to 94%1%
Warren's vocal opposition contributed to Democratic resistance in the committee vote, slightly tempering Warsh's market gains during the hearing period.
Apr 21 2026
Kevin Warsh faces intense questioning at Senate confirmation hearing, emphasizes Fed independence
Kevin Warsh dips to 94%1%
During his hearing, Warsh stressed his independence from President Trump and openness to rate cuts, but faced tough questions and political skepticism, causing a slight market dip.
Mar 31 2026
Senate Banking Committee schedules Kevin Warsh confirmation hearing for mid-April
Kevin Warsh rises to 95%1%
The Senate Banking Committee announced the confirmation hearing for Warsh in the week of April 13, signaling progress in the nomination process amid rising inflation and geopolitical tensions.
Mar 14 2026
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urges Senate to proceed with Warsh hearings despite ongoing Powell investigation
Scott Bessent dips to 0%2%
Bessent's call to continue hearings amid the Powell probe failed to sway blocking senators, leading to a decline in Warsh rivals' market shares, including Bessent himself.
Bowman saw a small uptick in market interest as a potential alternative, but this quickly faded as Warsh's nomination advanced and other candidates lost traction.
Mar 4 2026
White House officially submits Kevin Warsh nomination for Federal Reserve Chair and Board of Governors
Kevin Warsh jumps to 94%5%
President Trump formally submitted Kevin Warsh's nomination to the Senate for both Fed Chair and Board of Governors positions, marking the official start of the confirmation process and boosting market confidence in Warsh's chances.
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न
"फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" Polymarket पर 9 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, केविन वार्श 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद जूडी शेल्टन 0% पर है।
आज तक, "फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" ने कुल $64.4 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 4, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।
"फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 9 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
"फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "केविन वार्श" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "जूडी शेल्टन" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।
"फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।
हाँ। सूचित रहने के लिए आपको ट्रेड करने की ज़रूरत नहीं है। यह पेज "फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" के लिए लाइव ट्रैकर के रूप में काम करता है। नए ट्रेड आने पर परिणाम संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं। आप इस पेज को बुकमार्क कर सकते हैं और टिप्पणी अनुभाग में देख सकते हैं कि अन्य ट्रेडर क्या कह रहे हैं।
Polymarket की संभावनाएँ असली ट्रेडरों द्वारा अपने विश्वासों के पीछे असली पैसा लगाकर निर्धारित होती हैं, जो सटीक पूर्वानुमान सामने लाने की प्रवृत्ति रखती है। "फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" पर $64.4 million ट्रेड होने के साथ, ये कीमतें हज़ारों प्रतिभागियों के सामूहिक ज्ञान और विश्वास को एकत्र करती हैं। उदाहरण के लिए, Polymarket का एक महीने का सटीकता स्कोर 94% है। Polymarket की पूर्वानुमान सटीकता पर नवीनतम आँकड़ों के लिए, सटीकता पेज Polymarket पर देखें।
"फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" पर अपना पहला ट्रेड करने के लिए, एक मुफ़्त Polymarket अकाउंट के लिए साइन अप करें और क्रिप्टो, क्रेडिट या डेबिट कार्ड, या बैंक ट्रांसफ़र से फ़ंड करें। एक बार आपका अकाउंट फ़ंडेड हो जाने पर, इस पेज पर वापस आएँ, जिस परिणाम पर आप ट्रेड करना चाहते हैं उसे चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
Polymarket पर, प्रत्येक परिणाम की कीमत बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। "फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" बाज़ार में "केविन वार्श" के लिए 100¢ की कीमत का मतलब है कि ट्रेडर सामूहिक रूप से मानते हैं कि "केविन वार्श" के सही परिणाम होने की लगभग 100% संभावना है। अगर आप 100¢ पर "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम सही है, तो आपको प्रति शेयर $1.00 मिलता है — प्रति शेयर 0¢ का लाभ।
"फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" बाज़ार Oct 31, 2026 को या उसके आसपास हल होने के लिए निर्धारित है। इसका मतलब है कि उस तिथि तक ट्रेडिंग खुली रहेगी और संभावनाएँ बदलती रहेंगी।
"फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" बाज़ार में 112 टिप्पणियों का एक सक्रिय समुदाय है जहाँ ट्रेडर अपना विश्लेषण साझा करते हैं, परिणामों पर बहस करते हैं, और ब्रेकिंग विकासों पर चर्चा करते हैं। अन्य प्रतिभागी क्या सोचते हैं पढ़ने के लिए नीचे टिप्पणी अनुभाग तक स्क्रॉल करें।
Polymarket दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है, जहाँ आप वास्तविक दुनिया की घटनाओं के अपने ज्ञान से सूचित रह सकते हैं और लाभ कमा सकते हैं। ट्रेडर राजनीति और चुनावों से लेकर क्रिप्टो, वित्त, खेल, तकनीक, और संस्कृति तक के विषयों पर परिणामों में शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं, जिसमें "फेड चेयर के रूप में किसकी पुष्टि की जाएगी?" जैसे बाज़ार शामिल हैं।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न