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icon for Anthropic IPO by __?
Keuangan·IPO

Anthropic IPO by __?

icon for Anthropic IPO by __?
Keuangan·IPO

Anthropic IPO by __?

$1,493,687 Vol.

Jul 1, 2027
Polymarket

$1,493,687 Vol.

Polymarket

September 15, 2026

$106,006 Vol.

2%

September 30, 2026

$498,919 Vol.

13%

October 31, 2026

$422,150 Vol.

70%

December 31, 2026

$358,608 Vol.

83%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and its $65 billion Series H round closed in late May at a $965 billion post-money valuation, represent the dominant drivers behind elevated market-implied odds of a 2026 IPO. The filing, supported by $15 billion in prior hyperscaler commitments from Amazon and others, positions the company to complete regulatory review and pursue a fall window as early as September or October, subject to market conditions. Traders are also weighing the company's rapid revenue expansion—run-rate revenue exceeded $47 billion earlier this year amid surging enterprise adoption of Claude—against persistent questions around sustained profitability and capital intensity for compute infrastructure. With major banks already engaged and the private valuation now exceeding OpenAI's most recent mark, sentiment reflects broad consensus that an IPO is feasible before year-end, though final timing hinges on SEC feedback and broader equity-market appetite for large AI listings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,493,687
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and its $65 billion Series H round closed in late May at a $965 billion post-money valuation, represent the dominant drivers behind elevated market-implied odds of a 2026 IPO. The filing, supported by $15 billion in prior hyperscaler commitments from Amazon and others, positions the company to complete regulatory review and pursue a fall window as early as September or October, subject to market conditions. Traders are also weighing the company's rapid revenue expansion—run-rate revenue exceeded $47 billion earlier this year amid surging enterprise adoption of Claude—against persistent questions around sustained profitability and capital intensity for compute infrastructure. With major banks already engaged and the private valuation now exceeding OpenAI's most recent mark, sentiment reflects broad consensus that an IPO is feasible before year-end, though final timing hinges on SEC feedback and broader equity-market appetite for large AI listings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,493,687
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

icon for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

88%
Anthropic
icon for Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

2%
icon for Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

96%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Anthropic IPO by __?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31, 2026" di 83%, diikuti oleh "October 31, 2026" di 70%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 83¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Anthropic IPO by __?" telah menghasilkan $1.5 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Anthropic IPO by __?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Anthropic IPO by __?" adalah "December 31, 2026" di 83%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "October 31, 2026" di 70%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Anthropic IPO by __?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.