Trader consensus strongly favors August 2026 global temperature anomalies exceeding 1.29°C, reflecting the established long-term warming trajectory from greenhouse gas accumulation and elevated baselines from recent record years. NOAA and similar monitoring agencies report sustained positive anomalies driven by anthropogenic forcing, with 2023–2025 setting new highs amid neutral-to-warm ENSO phases that limit cooling. Climate models show consistent upward trends, though monthly updates and any late-summer variability could modestly adjust final readings. Historical precedents confirm such levels have become routine rather than exceptional.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAugust 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
>1.29ºC 96.1%
1.25–1.29ºC 3.6%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
<1.10ºC <1%
$13,858 Vol.
$13,858 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
<1.10ºC
<1%
1.10–1.14ºC
<1%
1.15–1.19ºC
<1%
1.20–1.24ºC
1%
1.25–1.29ºC
4%
>1.29ºC
96%
>1.29ºC 96.1%
1.25–1.29ºC 3.6%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
<1.10ºC <1%
$13,858 Vol.
$13,858 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
<1.10ºC
$877 Vol.
<1%
1.10–1.14ºC
$999 Vol.
<1%
1.15–1.19ºC
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
1.20–1.24ºC
$2,077 Vol.
1%
1.25–1.29ºC
$2,513 Vol.
4%
>1.29ºC
$6,270 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Trader consensus strongly favors August 2026 global temperature anomalies exceeding 1.29°C, reflecting the established long-term warming trajectory from greenhouse gas accumulation and elevated baselines from recent record years. NOAA and similar monitoring agencies report sustained positive anomalies driven by anthropogenic forcing, with 2023–2025 setting new highs amid neutral-to-warm ENSO phases that limit cooling. Climate models show consistent upward trends, though monthly updates and any late-summer variability could modestly adjust final readings. Historical precedents confirm such levels have become routine rather than exceptional.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Volume
$13,858Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Trader consensus strongly favors August 2026 global temperature anomalies exceeding 1.29°C, reflecting the established long-term warming trajectory from greenhouse gas accumulation and elevated baselines from recent record years. NOAA and similar monitoring agencies report sustained positive anomalies driven by anthropogenic forcing, with 2023–2025 setting new highs amid neutral-to-warm ENSO phases that limit cooling. Climate models show consistent upward trends, though monthly updates and any late-summer variability could modestly adjust final readings. Historical precedents confirm such levels have become routine rather than exceptional.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$13,858Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors August 2026 global temperature anomalies exceeding 1.29°C, reflecting the established long-term warming trajectory from greenhouse gas accumulation and elevated baselines from recent record years. NOAA and similar monitoring agencies report sustained positive anomalies driven by anthropogenic forcing, with 2023–2025 setting new highs amid neutral-to-warm ENSO phases that limit cooling. Climate models show consistent upward trends, though monthly updates and any late-summer variability could modestly adjust final readings. Historical precedents confirm such levels have become routine rather than exceptional.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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