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Politik·Israel

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

icon for Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
Politik·Israel

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

9% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
9% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Netanyahu's coalition stability hinges on retaining support from Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party, a key partner in the current government, while recent Israeli High Court proceedings in April 2026 imposed limited restrictions on the National Security Minister's authority over police promotions and operations but declined to order his removal despite petitions alleging political interference. Ben-Gvir has continued exercising ministerial functions, including public statements on security policy and visits asserting Israeli sovereignty at the Temple Mount in May 2026, with no announcements of resignation or cabinet changes. Traders' consensus on an 88.5% probability that he remains in post through June 30 reflects these institutional barriers and the prime minister's repeated commitments to coalition partners, though ongoing legal reviews or shifts in parliamentary alignments could still influence the timeline before the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,117
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Netanyahu's coalition stability hinges on retaining support from Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party, a key partner in the current government, while recent Israeli High Court proceedings in April 2026 imposed limited restrictions on the National Security Minister's authority over police promotions and operations but declined to order his removal despite petitions alleging political interference. Ben-Gvir has continued exercising ministerial functions, including public statements on security policy and visits asserting Israeli sovereignty at the Temple Mount in May 2026, with no announcements of resignation or cabinet changes. Traders' consensus on an 88.5% probability that he remains in post through June 30 reflects these institutional barriers and the prime minister's repeated commitments to coalition partners, though ongoing legal reviews or shifts in parliamentary alignments could still influence the timeline before the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,117
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 12% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 12¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 12% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 16, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?" adalah 12% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 12% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.