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Dunia·Brasil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Dunia·Brasil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Romeu Zema 32%

Renan Santos 31%

Ronaldo Caiado 19%

Michelle Bolsonaro 5.3%

Polymarket

$280,350 Vol.

Romeu Zema 32%

Renan Santos 31%

Ronaldo Caiado 19%

Michelle Bolsonaro 5.3%

Polymarket

$280,350 Vol.

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$10,655 Vol.

32%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$61,980 Vol.

31%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$16,728 Vol.

19%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$4,817 Vol.

5%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$14,354 Vol.

4%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$7,036 Vol.

3%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$132 Vol.

2%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$6,116 Vol.

1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$5,286 Vol.

1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$4,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$4,328 Vol.

1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$654 Vol.

1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$4,260 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$2,559 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$39,622 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$93,195 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$4,536 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The tight race for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote reflects ongoing fragmentation of center-right and conservative support among multiple candidates. Romeu Zema and Renan Santos remain closely matched due to their distinct regional bases and party strategies, with Zema drawing from his record as Minas Gerais governor under the Novo banner and Santos building momentum through the Missão party and Free Brazil Movement networks. Ronaldo Caiado's position trails as Goiás governor and PSD nominee, while recent polls show the broader right-wing field splitting further among figures like Flávio Bolsonaro and others. Trader consensus on these frontrunners incorporates the latest national surveys indicating low-single-digit first-round shares overall, alongside the absence of major endorsements or scandals that could consolidate votes before the ballot.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$280,350
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The tight race for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote reflects ongoing fragmentation of center-right and conservative support among multiple candidates. Romeu Zema and Renan Santos remain closely matched due to their distinct regional bases and party strategies, with Zema drawing from his record as Minas Gerais governor under the Novo banner and Santos building momentum through the Missão party and Free Brazil Movement networks. Ronaldo Caiado's position trails as Goiás governor and PSD nominee, while recent polls show the broader right-wing field splitting further among figures like Flávio Bolsonaro and others. Trader consensus on these frontrunners incorporates the latest national surveys indicating low-single-digit first-round shares overall, alongside the absence of major endorsements or scandals that could consolidate votes before the ballot.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$280,350
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Romeu Zema" di 32%, diikuti oleh "Renan Santos" di 31%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 32¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" telah menghasilkan $280.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 11, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" adalah "Romeu Zema" di 32%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Renan Santos" di 31%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.