Incumbent Iliana Iotova holds a commanding position in the autumn 2026 Bulgarian presidential race, with traders assigning her a 60% implied probability. This stems primarily from the Progressive Bulgaria coalition’s outright parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap election, ending years of repeated votes and instability. As the sitting president and former vice president under Rumen Radev, Iotova benefits from that coalition’s momentum and recent mandate negotiations. Opposition figures trail sharply: Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev of the weakened PP-DB bloc sit at 10.5% and 8.5%, while GERB-linked Rosen Zhelyazkov and Boyko Borissov register just 4.5% and 2.7% amid their party’s reduced standing. The fragmented field and timing before the presidential vote reinforce Iotova’s current lead in crowd-sourced pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova 60%
Nikolai Denkov 10%
Vassil Terziev 8.4%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$103,560 Vol.
$103,560 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
60%

Nikolai Denkov
10%

Vassil Terziev
8%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Blagomir Kotsev
<1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 60%
Nikolai Denkov 10%
Vassil Terziev 8.4%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$103,560 Vol.
$103,560 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
60%

Nikolai Denkov
10%

Vassil Terziev
8%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Blagomir Kotsev
<1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Iliana Iotova holds a commanding position in the autumn 2026 Bulgarian presidential race, with traders assigning her a 60% implied probability. This stems primarily from the Progressive Bulgaria coalition’s outright parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap election, ending years of repeated votes and instability. As the sitting president and former vice president under Rumen Radev, Iotova benefits from that coalition’s momentum and recent mandate negotiations. Opposition figures trail sharply: Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev of the weakened PP-DB bloc sit at 10.5% and 8.5%, while GERB-linked Rosen Zhelyazkov and Boyko Borissov register just 4.5% and 2.7% amid their party’s reduced standing. The fragmented field and timing before the presidential vote reinforce Iotova’s current lead in crowd-sourced pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan