Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the CAQ projected near 19–23 seats amid a tight popular vote race with the PQ and Liberals, reflecting voter fatigue with the incumbent after eight years in power. Attacks during the first leaders’ debate on spending overruns, project management issues, and economic performance have kept CAQ support fragmented across regions, limiting vote efficiency in key ridings. High incumbent retirements and a compressed five-week campaign add volatility to seat outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of late swings or stronger regional pockets pushing the CAQ above 30 seats against the more probable range of 20–29, with the second debate and final polling waves likely to clarify the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui30+ 40%
20-24 31%
25-29 28%
15-19 10.2%
$17,882 Vol.
$17,882 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
<5
1%
5-9
2%
10-14
3%
15-19
12%
20-24
31%
25-29
28%
30+
40%
30+ 40%
20-24 31%
25-29 28%
15-19 10.2%
$17,882 Vol.
$17,882 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$827 Vol.
1%
5-9
$1,320 Vol.
2%
10-14
$3,335 Vol.
3%
15-19
$1,808 Vol.
12%
20-24
$3,420 Vol.
31%
25-29
$1,536 Vol.
28%
30+
$5,635 Vol.
40%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the CAQ projected near 19–23 seats amid a tight popular vote race with the PQ and Liberals, reflecting voter fatigue with the incumbent after eight years in power. Attacks during the first leaders’ debate on spending overruns, project management issues, and economic performance have kept CAQ support fragmented across regions, limiting vote efficiency in key ridings. High incumbent retirements and a compressed five-week campaign add volatility to seat outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of late swings or stronger regional pockets pushing the CAQ above 30 seats against the more probable range of 20–29, with the second debate and final polling waves likely to clarify the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$17,882Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the CAQ projected near 19–23 seats amid a tight popular vote race with the PQ and Liberals, reflecting voter fatigue with the incumbent after eight years in power. Attacks during the first leaders’ debate on spending overruns, project management issues, and economic performance have kept CAQ support fragmented across regions, limiting vote efficiency in key ridings. High incumbent retirements and a compressed five-week campaign add volatility to seat outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of late swings or stronger regional pockets pushing the CAQ above 30 seats against the more probable range of 20–29, with the second debate and final polling waves likely to clarify the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$17,882Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the CAQ projected near 19–23 seats amid a tight popular vote race with the PQ and Liberals, reflecting voter fatigue with the incumbent after eight years in power. Attacks during the first leaders’ debate on spending overruns, project management issues, and economic performance have kept CAQ support fragmented across regions, limiting vote efficiency in key ridings. High incumbent retirements and a compressed five-week campaign add volatility to seat outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of late swings or stronger regional pockets pushing the CAQ above 30 seats against the more probable range of 20–29, with the second debate and final polling waves likely to clarify the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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