Recent polling averages place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the mid-teens, with support concentrated in ridings outside Montreal and in parts of the Quebec City region. First-past-the-post mechanics and numerous three-way contests involving the CAQ, PQ, and Liberals create high variance in seat outcomes despite stable vote intention. Projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Poliwave currently center PCQ seat totals in the single digits to low teens, reflecting both regional strengths and vulnerability to small shifts in turnout or preference flows. The final campaign weeks, including remaining leaders’ debates and any late movement among CAQ or PQ voters, remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui8-10 29%
11-13 24%
5-7 19%
17+ 12.7%
BARU
BARU
Oct 5, 2026
<5
4%
5-7
31%
8-10
29%
11-13
24%
14-16
11%
17+
14%
8-10 29%
11-13 24%
5-7 19%
17+ 12.7%
BARU
BARU
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$1,979 Vol.
4%
5-7
$838 Vol.
31%
8-10
$1,323 Vol.
29%
11-13
$1,439 Vol.
24%
14-16
$1,017 Vol.
11%
17+
$977 Vol.
14%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the mid-teens, with support concentrated in ridings outside Montreal and in parts of the Quebec City region. First-past-the-post mechanics and numerous three-way contests involving the CAQ, PQ, and Liberals create high variance in seat outcomes despite stable vote intention. Projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Poliwave currently center PCQ seat totals in the single digits to low teens, reflecting both regional strengths and vulnerability to small shifts in turnout or preference flows. The final campaign weeks, including remaining leaders’ debates and any late movement among CAQ or PQ voters, remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$7,574Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the mid-teens, with support concentrated in ridings outside Montreal and in parts of the Quebec City region. First-past-the-post mechanics and numerous three-way contests involving the CAQ, PQ, and Liberals create high variance in seat outcomes despite stable vote intention. Projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Poliwave currently center PCQ seat totals in the single digits to low teens, reflecting both regional strengths and vulnerability to small shifts in turnout or preference flows. The final campaign weeks, including remaining leaders’ debates and any late movement among CAQ or PQ voters, remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$7,574Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the mid-teens, with support concentrated in ridings outside Montreal and in parts of the Quebec City region. First-past-the-post mechanics and numerous three-way contests involving the CAQ, PQ, and Liberals create high variance in seat outcomes despite stable vote intention. Projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Poliwave currently center PCQ seat totals in the single digits to low teens, reflecting both regional strengths and vulnerability to small shifts in turnout or preference flows. The final campaign weeks, including remaining leaders’ debates and any late movement among CAQ or PQ voters, remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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