The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing senator Iván Cepeda, following a record first-round turnout of 57.89 percent, has positioned 60-64 percent as the leading outcome in trader consensus. Polarization between the candidates' opposing platforms on security, peace negotiations, and economic policy is prompting intensive mobilization efforts by both camps and their coalitions to boost participation among abstainers from the initial round. Historical patterns show Colombian runoffs often see modest turnout gains amid heightened stakes, while recent campaign focus on voter outreach and the absence of major disruptions support expectations of sustained but not dramatically higher engagement compared to May 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiColombia Presidential Election Runoff: Turnout
60-64% 59%
56-60% 36%
64%+ 3.7%
52-56% 3.0%
$13,462 Vol.
$13,462 Vol.
<52%
1%
52-56%
3%
56-60%
36%
60-64%
59%
64%+
4%
60-64% 59%
56-60% 36%
64%+ 3.7%
52-56% 3.0%
$13,462 Vol.
$13,462 Vol.
<52%
1%
52-56%
3%
56-60%
36%
60-64%
59%
64%+
4%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing senator Iván Cepeda, following a record first-round turnout of 57.89 percent, has positioned 60-64 percent as the leading outcome in trader consensus. Polarization between the candidates' opposing platforms on security, peace negotiations, and economic policy is prompting intensive mobilization efforts by both camps and their coalitions to boost participation among abstainers from the initial round. Historical patterns show Colombian runoffs often see modest turnout gains amid heightened stakes, while recent campaign focus on voter outreach and the absence of major disruptions support expectations of sustained but not dramatically higher engagement compared to May 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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