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Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

icon for Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

>99% peluang
Polymarket

$1,295,666 Vol.

>99% peluang
Polymarket

$1,295,666 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a laboratory-verified Sin Nombre virus infection, the predominant hantavirus strain causing pulmonary syndrome in the western United States, in a Chelan County, Washington resident has driven the near-certain market consensus. This case, reported by the Chelan-Douglas Health District on or before the May 15 resolution date, aligns with established epidemiological patterns: the CDC records roughly 20–40 such U.S. cases annually, primarily linked to rodent exposure in rural western states. The unrelated Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship has produced no domestic confirmations as of May 14, reinforcing that the Washington diagnosis alone satisfies the market criteria. Ongoing surveillance through state health departments and the CDC continues to monitor exposures without altering this outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$1,295,666
Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a laboratory-verified Sin Nombre virus infection, the predominant hantavirus strain causing pulmonary syndrome in the western United States, in a Chelan County, Washington resident has driven the near-certain market consensus. This case, reported by the Chelan-Douglas Health District on or before the May 15 resolution date, aligns with established epidemiological patterns: the CDC records roughly 20–40 such U.S. cases annually, primarily linked to rodent exposure in rural western states. The unrelated Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship has produced no domestic confirmations as of May 14, reinforcing that the Washington diagnosis alone satisfies the market criteria. Ongoing surveillance through state health departments and the CDC continues to monitor exposures without altering this outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$1,295,666
Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 100% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 100¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" telah menghasilkan $1.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 7, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" adalah 100% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 100% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.